2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
996 sqft ·
Built 1940
· Other
· Active
· 79 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,048/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$393
Tax + insurance
−$79
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$220
Net cashflow
$356/mo
Annual
$4,274/yr
Cap rate
12.00%
Cash-on-cash
20.38%
DSCR
1.91
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$20,972
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $75k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $356 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($70k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $70k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $518 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#523 in MO) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
Desoto 73 (town): math 36% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #153 of 324 in MO (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Vineland Elem. (math 40% / reading 44%, grade F, #481 of 1,115 statewide, top 46%, 648 students, 49% FRL); Desoto Sr. High (math 37% / reading 53%, grade D-, #176 of 521 statewide, top 34%, 848 students, 34% FRL) — zoned schools at 42% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1940 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 152 active listings in the ZIP; 807 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Current owner paid $22k; list at $75k implies a 237% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 12.0% vs local median 3.7% in De Soto — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1940 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
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· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29