3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,250 sqft ·
Built 1968
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 21 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,142/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$627
Tax + insurance
−$175
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$240
Net cashflow
$101/mo
Annual
$1,210/yr
Cap rate
7.31%
Cash-on-cash
3.62%
DSCR
1.16
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$33,460
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $101 ($1k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $114k (4.4% below list).
It's been on market 21 days — a 2% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $114k (4.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $9k of equity ($826 loan paydown + $8k appreciation (7.1% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#220 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, employment D+, amenities F.
Archer City ISD (rural): math 56% / reading 63% proficiency, ranked #79 of 826 in TX (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 25 units permitted in Archer County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Archer County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
At projected returns (7.1% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $33k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HFSGJW7VB2JFB2
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29