None bd · None ba ·
— sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 156 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,370/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$267
HOA
−$316
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$288
Net cashflow
$-339/mo
Annual
$-4,069/yr
Cap rate
3.75%
Cash-on-cash
-9.08%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
0.86%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a single-family listed at $160k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-339 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $111k (30.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $137k (14.3% below list).
It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($141k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $111k (30.7% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#249 in OH, #3,972 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
Willoughby-Eastlake City (suburban): math 42% / reading 58% proficiency, ranked #434 of 656 in OH (top 66%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: HOA is 23% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 187 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 17d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 448 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lake County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
13 sale attempts since 35y ago; this cycle's ask is 220% above the opening price — seller raised mid-cycle; expect resistance to lowballs.
Current owner paid $65k; list at $160k implies a 146% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 3.7% vs local median 2.8% in Willoughby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 31% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: siding
— The siding is visibly damaged and needs replacement.
Major: roof
— The roof appears old and possibly leaking, requiring replacement.
Major: front porch
— The front porch is in disrepair, with missing or damaged boards, requiring full replacement or repair.
Major: flooring
— The flooring is likely in poor condition and needs replacement or repair.
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— The HVAC and mechanical systems are likely in poor condition and need replacement or repair.
Major: landscaping
— The landscaping is minimal and needs significant improvement to enhance curb appeal and attract potential buyers/tenants.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HG9K4V8R47P9CF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29