3 bd · 3.0 ba ·
1,254 sqft ·
Built 2021
· Condo
· Active
· 38 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,922/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,731
Tax + insurance
−$504
HOA
−$145
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$404
Net cashflow
$-862/mo
Annual
$-10,339/yr
Cap rate
3.16%
Cash-on-cash
-11.19%
DSCR
0.50
1% rule
0.58%
Cash to close
$92,400
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/3.0-bath condo listed at $330k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-862 ($-10k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $178k (46.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $192k (41.8% below list).
It's been on market 38 days — a 3% lower offer ($320k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $178k (46.1% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $35k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $33k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#232 in IA, #4,402 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, amenities F, commute F.
College Community School District (urban): math 62% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #173 of 289 in IA (top 60%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP; 1,023 units permitted in Linn County in 2024 (456 in 5+ unit buildings).
Linn County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
2 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $263k; 25% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$57k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 3.2% vs local median 2.6% in Fairfax — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 38 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 46% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HGC8ASCGN11WQK
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29