1780 Saint Paul St

Rochester, NY 14621

$1,800,000C+

840 bd · None ba · 14,198 sqft · Built 1970 · MultiFamily · Active · 79 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $31,416/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$9,439
• Tax + insurance: −$3,000
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$6,597
• Net cashflow: $12,379/mo
• Annual: $148,551/yr
• Cap rate: 14.55%
• Cash-on-cash: 29.47%
• DSCR: 2.31
• 1% rule: 1.75%
• Cash to close: $504,000

Investor read

• This is a 28×1bd/1ba + 2×?bd/1ba units multifamily listed at $1.80M. Condition is rated fair.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $12k ($149k/yr) — positive. Per door: $413/mo.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($31k rent vs $1.80M).
• It's been on market 79 days — a 6% lower offer ($1.69M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $1.69M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $12k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $54k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 76/100 on livability (#222 in NY, #3,482 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
• Rochester City School District (urban): math 21% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #589 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 82% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: School 50-Helen Barrett Montgomery (math 2% / reading 12%, grade F, #2,087 of 2,108 statewide, top 99%, 628 students, 90% FRL); East Lower School (math 2% / reading 22%, grade F, #715 of 729 statewide, top 98%, 304 students, 86% FRL); Edison Career And Technology High School (math 44% / reading 50%, grade D-, #1,007 of 1,100 statewide, top 93%, 1,233 students, 91% FRL).
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.9%/yr); 116 active listings in the ZIP; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
• 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $504k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• Cap rate 14.5% vs local median 9.3% in Rochester — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• At $31,416/mo this rent would consume 1065% of the median local household income ($35k/yr) (locally 2756% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 79 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
• What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
• Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
• Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?

Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)

• Moderate: exterior walls — Weathered and discolored
• Minor: interior walls — Some discoloration