3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,456 sqft ·
Built 2025
· Land
· Active
· 182 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,431/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$703
Tax + insurance
−$512
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$301
Net cashflow
$-84/mo
Annual
$-1,006/yr
Cap rate
9.36%
Cash-on-cash
10.96%
DSCR
1.49
1% rule
1.07%
Cash to close
$37,520
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath land listed at $134k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-84 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $119k (11.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $134k).
It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($118k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $118k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $926 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 68/100 on livability (#95 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment D-.
Calcasieu Parish (other): math 30% / reading 44% proficiency, ranked #29 of 98 in LA (top 30%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Dolby Elementary School (math 42% / reading 62%, grade C-, #108 of 646 statewide, top 18%, 381 students, 64% FRL); F. K. White Middle School (math 26% / reading 39%, grade F, #104 of 218 statewide, top 48%, 661 students, 67% FRL); Alfred M. Barbe High School (math 41% / reading 56%, grade D, #41 of 265 statewide, top 16%, 1,991 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+15.1%/yr); 464 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 1,298 units permitted in Calcasieu Parish in 2024 (526 in 5+ unit buildings).
Calcasieu County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Current owner paid $39k; list at $134k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.2% in Lake Charles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HGYDJZA3JA3QP8
· Data 2 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29