3 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,700 sqft ·
Built 1966
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 68 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,799/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,127
Tax + insurance
−$265
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$378
Net cashflow
$29/mo
Annual
$346/yr
Cap rate
6.45%
Cash-on-cash
0.57%
DSCR
1.03
1% rule
0.84%
Cash to close
$60,172
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $215k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $29 ($346/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (16.3% below list).
It's been on market 68 days — a 6% lower offer ($202k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $180k (16.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 64/100 on livability (#722 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities F, commute F.
Rome City School District (town): math 35% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #516 of 590 in NY (top 88%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Gansevoort Elementary School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #2,011 of 2,108 statewide, top 96%, 443 students, 78% FRL); Lyndon H Strough Middle School (math 20% / reading 40%, grade F, #539 of 729 statewide, top 74%, 829 students, 59% FRL); Rome Free Academy (math 85% / reading 98%, grade A+, #201 of 1,100 statewide, top 18%, 1,511 students, 51% FRL).
Market conditions: 282 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 46d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 100% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 204 units permitted in Oneida County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).
Oneida County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 21y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $84k; list at $215k implies a 155% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 68 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 16% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1966 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HHPZ454XX5TXQ8
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29