3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,620 sqft ·
Built 1954
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 178 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,216/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$469
Tax + insurance
−$360
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$255
Net cashflow
$131/mo
Annual
$1,567/yr
Cap rate
9.68%
Cash-on-cash
12.11%
DSCR
1.54
1% rule
1.36%
Cash to close
$25,060
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
It's been on market 178 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $437 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#242 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Brooks County ISD (town): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #776 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $122/mo; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 178 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
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· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29