604 W Holland St · Falfurrias, TX
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- AO
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $848 – $2,087
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 113°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +27.1/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +9.4/10.0
- 1% rule +8.6/10.0
- Appreciation +5.2/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.7/10.0
$89,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Nice 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a 2 car carport on a fenced, almost full acre, located just inside the city limits. This property boasts a large covered country style front porch and wooden 10 x 20 deck with rails and gate in the rear, and a large high roofed carport/implement shed in the backyard. Call your favorite Realtor today and schedule a showing.
Key facts
- High roofed carport
- 0.48 acre lot
- 4 parking spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $90k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $131 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $90k).
- Recommended offer: $79k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#242 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Brooks County ISD (town): math 19% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #776 of 826 in TX (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; only 19% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: 42 active listings in the ZIP.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($619 loan paydown + $437 appreciation (0.5% local appreciation)).
- At projected returns (0.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $25k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 176 days — a 12% lower offer ($79k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $9k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.7% of price; flood insurance adds $122/mo; built in 1954 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AO (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 176 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1954 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.68%
- Cash-on-cash
- 12.11%
- DSCR
- 1.54
- GRM
- 6.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $125,000
- List price
- $89,500
- Delta
- -28.40%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 332 W Potts St | 0.26mi | 3/2.0 | 1,394 (-14%) | 2mo | $125,000 | $90 | 59 |
| 515 W Miller St | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 | 1,718 (+6%) | 17mo | $174,900 | $102 | 47 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
0.49% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.32×
- Total profit
- $7,923
- Equity at exit
- $28,196
- IRR
- 11.2%
- Equity multiple
- 2.29×
- Total profit
- $32,347
- Equity at exit
- $35,709
Cash invested: $25,060 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78355
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 6.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,216 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$469
- Tax from tax record
- −$201 /mo · $2,409/yr
- Insurance
- −$37
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$122 /mo · $1,468/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$255
- Net cashflow
- $131
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $22,375
- Closing costs
- $2,685
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 22 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $89,500 Active 176 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $89,500 Active 175 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $89,500 Active 174 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $89,500 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $89,500 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $89,500 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $89,500 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $89,500 Active 166 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $89,500 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $89,500 Active 164 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $93,500 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $93,500 Active 160 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $93,500 Active 159 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $93,500 Active 158 DOM
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2026-04-20price $93,500 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a 2 car carport on a fenced, almost full acre, located just inside the city limits. This property boasts a large covered country style front porch and wooden 10 x 20 deck with rails and gate in the rear, and a large high roofed carport/implement shed in the backyard. Call your favorite Realtor today and schedule a showing.
-
2026-03-20status Active 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a 2 car carport on a fenced, almost full acre, located just inside the city limits. This property boasts a large covered country style front porch and wooden 10 x 20 deck with rails and gate in the rear, and a large high roofed carport/implement shed in the backyard. Call your favorite Realtor today and schedule a showing.
-
2026-03-16status Pending 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a 2 car carport on a fenced, almost full acre, located just inside the city limits. This property boasts a large covered country style front porch and wooden 10 x 20 deck with rails and gate in the rear, and a large high roofed carport/implement shed in the backyard. Call your favorite Realtor today and schedule a showing.
-
2026-03-06historical 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a 2 car carport on a fenced, almost full acre, located just inside the city limits. This property boasts a large covered country style front porch and wooden 10 x 20 deck with rails and gate in the rear, and a large high roofed carport/implement shed in the backyard. Call your favorite Realtor today and schedule a showing.
-
2025-12-10$98,500 Active 357-char remark
Show marketing remark (357 chars)
Nice 3 bedroom, 2 bath home with a 2 car carport on a fenced, almost full acre, located just inside the city limits. This property boasts a large covered country style front porch and wooden 10 x 20 deck with rails and gate in the rear, and a large high roofed carport/implement shed in the backyard. Call your favorite Realtor today and schedule a showing.
-
2016-02-18soldstatus
-
2016-02-16soldstatus
-
2015-12-17$82,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,409 · $201/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,409 · $201/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone AO · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥113°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,586
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,013
- − Property taxes
- −$2,409
- − Insurance
- −$1,915
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,167
- − Management
- −$1,167
- − Depreciation
- −$2,604
- Taxable income
- $311
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$75
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,492/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Brooks County ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811580
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $23,562
- Composite
- 17.44/100
- National rank
- #9064
- State rank
- #776 of 826 in TX
Livability — Falfurrias
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #242
- US rank
- #5822
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Falfurrias, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,843
Population outlook (Brooks County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 7,122 people
- By 2030
- 7,090 · -0.4%
- By 2040
- 7,023 · -1.4%
- By 2050
- 6,954 · -2.4%
- By 2075
- 6,413 · -10.0%
- By 2100
- 5,296 · -25.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 91% Two or more races 38% White 8%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 82%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 5% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 30% English-only · Spanish 70%
Political lean MEDSL · Brooks
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+9.6) · D 54.5% · R 44.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -42.0pp toward R · 2008: 51.6pp · 2024: 9.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+9.6 2020: D+19.0 2016: D+51.0 2012: D+57.4 2008: D+51.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 0.49%
- Current HPI
- 78.6241
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+12.8% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Price Changed $93,500 CBMLS
- 2026-03-20 Relisted — CBMLS
- 2026-03-16 Pending — CBMLS
- 2026-03-06 Delisted — CBMLS
- 2025-12-10 Listed $98,500 CBMLS
- 2016-02-18 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-02-16 Sold (MLS) — CBMLS
- 2015-12-17 Listed $82,900 CBMLS
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,409 · -4.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…