3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
642 sqft ·
Built 1934
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 7 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,947/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,180
Tax + insurance
−$375
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$409
Net cashflow
$-17/mo
Annual
$-202/yr
Cap rate
6.20%
Cash-on-cash
-0.32%
DSCR
0.99
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$63,000
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-17 ($-202/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $223k (1.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $195k (13.5% below list).
Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Recommended offer: $195k (13.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#1 in DC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
District Of Columbia Public Schools (urban): math 33% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #8 of 32 in DC (top 25%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 65% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: C.W. Harris Es (249 students, 0% FRL); Jefferson Ms Academy (386 students, 0% FRL); Eastern Hs (865 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 65% district-wide (65 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: built in 1934 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.1%/yr); 276 active listings in the ZIP; 32 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,737 units permitted in District of Columbia in 2024 (1,506 in 5+ unit buildings).
District of Columbia County population projected at +50% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $48k; list at $225k implies a 369% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.5% in Washington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($58k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1934 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HJ221H7KD6FPT7
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29