2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
816 sqft ·
Built 1948
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 1 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$887/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$391
Tax + insurance
−$166
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$186
Net cashflow
$144/mo
Annual
$1,731/yr
Cap rate
8.62%
Cash-on-cash
8.30%
DSCR
1.37
1% rule
1.19%
Cash to close
$20,860
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($887 rent vs $74k).
Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $515 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#599 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
Pana CUSD 8 (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #360 of 620 in IL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Christian County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
8 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $58k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 6.4% in Pana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HJH00F1FK2RVP8
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29