120 Macarthur Blvd · Pana, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 105°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- 1% rule +6.9/10.0
- ARV discount +4.7/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$74,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Check out this cute 3 bedroom home. Very clean with all new carpet and fresh paint throughout. 1 car detached garage. Spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinets and counter space. Ready to move in.
Key facts
- 4,851 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1948
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (1 car)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-family residence; One-level / 1 story
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Built with crawl space foundation
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Gravel road access; Lot in R-1 zoning
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Natural gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Refrigerator; Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer; Laundry on main level
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $74k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $144 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($887 rent vs $74k).
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 6.4% in Pana — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#599 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools F, amenities F, commute F.
- Pana CUSD 8 (town): math 20% / reading 29% proficiency, ranked #360 of 620 in IL (top 58%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 66 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Christian County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $515 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Christian County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 8 sale attempts since 27y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $58k; 28% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.19% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.30%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 7.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $70,176
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112 Patton St | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (0%) | 4mo | $54,900 | $67 | 90 |
| 136 Macarthur Blvd | 0.07mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 816 (0%) | 10mo | $70,000 | $86 | 80 |
| 117 Macarthur Blvd | 0.03mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 770 (-6%) | 1mo | $88,400 | $115 | 79 |
| 610 S Spruce St | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-6%) | 4mo | $24,200 | $32 | 77 |
| 108 Macarthur Blvd | 0.06mi | 2/1.0 | 768 (-6%) | 10mo | $14,500 | $19 | 75 |
| 115 Macarthur Blvd | 0.04mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-12%) | 4mo | $49,900 | $69 | 72 |
| 708 E 5th St | 0.08mi | 2/1.0 | 758 (-7%) | 11mo | $65,000 | $86 | 72 |
| 106 Macarthur Blvd | 0.07mi | 2/1.0 | 860 (+5%) | 16mo | $78,000 | $91 | 71 |
| 414 Maple St | 0.25mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 800 (-2%) | 14mo | $84,900 | $106 | 65 |
| 609 Fair Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 816 (0%) | 22mo | $50,000 | $61 | 56 |
| 900 E 1st St | 0.45mi | 2/1.0 | 720 (-12%) | 6mo | $69,000 | $96 | 51 |
| 4 W 6th St | 0.70mi | 2/1.0 | 748 (-8%) | 13mo | $25,000 | $33 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.86×
- Total profit
- $-2,843
- Equity at exit
- $11,108
- IRR
- 6.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.46×
- Total profit
- $9,516
- Equity at exit
- $6,441
Cash invested: $20,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62557
- Home prices YoY
- -18.5%
- Active inventory
- 66
- Price-to-rent
- 7.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $887 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$391
- Tax from tax record
- −$135 /mo · $1,617/yr
- Insurance
- −$31
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$186
- Net cashflow
- $144
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $186 | -5% $165 | +0% $144 | +5% $123 | +10% $102 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $74 | -5% $109 | +0% $144 | +5% $179 | +10% $214 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $182 | -0.5pp $163 | base $144 | +0.5pp $125 | +1.0pp $105 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $18,625
- Closing costs
- $2,235
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-05-06status Pending
-
2026-05-05$74,500 Active
-
2025-05-29historical $675
-
2025-05-25$675
-
2024-05-15soldstatus $58,000
-
2024-05-10soldstatus $58,000 Closed 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Check out this cute 3 bedroom home. Very clean with all new carpet and fresh paint throughout. 1 car detached garage. Spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinets and counter space. Ready to move in.
-
2024-05-10soldstatus $58,000 Closed 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Check out this cute 3 bedroom home. Very clean with all new carpet and fresh paint throughout. 1 car detached garage. Spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinets and counter space. Ready to move in.
-
2024-05-08status Pending 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Check out this cute 3 bedroom home. Very clean with all new carpet and fresh paint throughout. 1 car detached garage. Spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinets and counter space. Ready to move in.
-
2024-05-08status Pending 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Check out this cute 3 bedroom home. Very clean with all new carpet and fresh paint throughout. 1 car detached garage. Spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinets and counter space. Ready to move in.
-
2024-04-17price $67,900 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Check out this cute 3 bedroom home. Very clean with all new carpet and fresh paint throughout. 1 car detached garage. Spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinets and counter space. Ready to move in.
-
2024-04-17price $67,900 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Check out this cute 3 bedroom home. Very clean with all new carpet and fresh paint throughout. 1 car detached garage. Spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinets and counter space. Ready to move in.
-
2024-02-05$69,900 Active 195-char remark
Show marketing remark (195 chars)
Check out this cute 3 bedroom home. Very clean with all new carpet and fresh paint throughout. 1 car detached garage. Spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinets and counter space. Ready to move in.
-
2024-02-02$69,900 Active 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
Check out this cute 3 bedroom home. Very clean with all new carpet and fresh paint throughout. 1 car detached garage. Spacious kitchen with plenty of cabinets and counter space. Ready to move in.
-
2016-07-29soldstatus $54,500
-
2016-07-28soldstatus $54,500
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2016-07-28soldstatus $54,500
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2015-10-10$54,900
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2015-10-10$54,900
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2008-08-15soldstatus $46,000
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2008-08-15soldstatus $46,000
-
2008-06-20$53,000
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2004-01-01soldstatus $34,000
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1999-11-12soldstatus $23,000
-
1999-06-28$28,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,617 · $135/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,654 · $138/mo
- Expected delta
- +$37/yr (+$3/mo · 2.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,644
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,173
- − Property taxes
- −$1,617
- − Insurance
- −$372
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$852
- − Management
- −$852
- − Depreciation
- −$2,167
- Taxable income
- $611
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$147
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,585/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Pana CUSD 8
- NCES district ID
- 1730630
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -4.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,385
- Composite
- 20.88/100
- National rank
- #8493
- State rank
- #360 of 620 in IL
Livability — Pana
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #599
- US rank
- #12409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Pana, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 6,859
Population outlook (Christian County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 31,182 people
- By 2030
- 29,787 · -4.5%
- By 2040
- 26,793 · -14.1%
- By 2050
- 23,757 · -23.8%
- By 2075
- 17,333 · -44.4%
- By 2100
- 11,573 · -62.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (91%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 91% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
Political lean MEDSL · Christian
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+46.7) · D 25.9% · R 72.6% · Other 1.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -40.4pp toward R · 2008: -6.3pp · 2024: -46.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+46.7 2020: R+44.6 2016: R+42.7 2012: R+23.1 2008: R+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -30.82%
- Current HPI
- 135.6938
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
|
||
| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
||
| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
|
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Price history
+166.1% since first listed24 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-06 Pending — CIBR
- 2026-05-05 Listed $74,500 CIBR
- 2025-05-29 Rental Removed $675 TURBOTENANT
- 2025-05-25 Listed for Rent $675 TURBOTENANT
- 2024-05-15 Sold (Public Records) $58,000 Public Records
- 2024-05-10 Sold (MLS) $58,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-10 Sold (MLS) $58,000 CIBR
- 2024-05-08 Pending — MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-05-08 Pending — CIBR
- 2024-04-17 Price Changed $67,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-04-17 Price Changed $67,900 CIBR
- 2024-02-05 Listed $69,900 CIBR
- 2024-02-02 Listed $69,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2016-07-29 Sold (Public Records) $54,500 Public Records
- 2016-07-28 Sold (MLS) $54,500 CIBR
- 2016-07-28 Sold (MLS) $54,500 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2015-10-10 Listed $54,900 CIBR
- 2015-10-10 Listed $54,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-08-15 Sold (Public Records) $46,000 Public Records
- 2008-08-15 Sold (MLS) $46,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2008-06-20 Listed $53,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2004-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $34,000 Public Records
- 1999-11-12 Sold (MLS) $23,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 1999-06-28 Listed $28,000 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+6.8%/yrLatest (2024): $1,617 · +4.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…