3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,560 sqft ·
Built 2000
· Manufactured
· Active
· 121 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,391/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$498
Tax + insurance
−$158
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$292
Net cashflow
$443/mo
Annual
$5,312/yr
Cap rate
11.89%
Cash-on-cash
19.97%
DSCR
1.89
1% rule
1.46%
Cash to close
$26,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $95k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $443 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $95k).
It's been on market 121 days — a 12% lower offer ($84k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $84k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $657 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Laramie County School District #1 (urban): math 41% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #33 of 41 in WY (top 80%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Arp Elementary (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #148 of 151 statewide, top 98%, 333 students, 72% FRL); Johnson Junior High School (math 29% / reading 42%, grade F, #53 of 55 statewide, top 96%, 647 students, 66% FRL); South High School (math 23% / reading 29%, grade F, #62 of 75 statewide, top 82%, 1,187 students, 56% FRL) — zoned schools average 64% FRL vs 32% district-wide (33 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 26% at this address vs 44% district-wide (-18 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Laramie County School District #1 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 485 units permitted in Laramie County in 2024 (104 in 5+ unit buildings).
Laramie County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.1% rent growth), your $27k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 121 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— visible wear from satellite image
Major: exterior siding
— gray siding with visible wear
CashFlowRE · CFR-HNM0SWEZNAQ7Y2
· Data 20 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29