3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,015 sqft ·
Built —
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 361 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,045/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$328
Tax + insurance
−$104
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$219
Net cashflow
$393/mo
Annual
$4,721/yr
Cap rate
13.85%
Cash-on-cash
26.97%
DSCR
2.20
1% rule
1.67%
Cash to close
$17,500
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $62k. Condition is rated poor.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $393 ($5k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $62k).
It's been on market 361 days — a 12% lower offer ($55k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $55k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $1k of equity ($432 loan paydown + $931 appreciation (1.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
North Central Area Schools (rural): math 40% / reading 60% proficiency, ranked #202 of 760 in MI (top 27%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 26 units permitted in Menominee County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Menominee County population projected at -19% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (1.5% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $18k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 361 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: roof
— Rusted and damaged
Major: exterior walls
— Peeling paint and exposed drywall
Major: flooring
— Worn carpet and exposed subfloor
Major: HVAC/mechanicals
— Exposed ductwork and old appliances
Major: landscaping
— Overgrown vegetation and unkempt appearance
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· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29