2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,027 sqft ·
Built 1969
· Condo
· Active
· 48 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,463/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$681
Tax + insurance
−$216
HOA
−$303
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$307
Net cashflow
$-45/mo
Annual
$-543/yr
Cap rate
5.87%
Cash-on-cash
-1.49%
DSCR
0.93
1% rule
1.13%
Cash to close
$36,372
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath condo listed at $130k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-45 ($-543/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $123k (5.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
It's been on market 48 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $123k (5.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $898 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 84/100 on livability (#2 in AL, #827 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F.
Vestavia Hills City (suburban): math 63% / reading 83% proficiency, ranked #2 of 129 in AL (top 2%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Vestavia Hills High School (math 71% / reading 69%, grade B+, #3 of 305 statewide, top 1%, 1,578 students, 10% FRL) — zoned schools at 10% FRL track the district average.
Watch-outs: HOA is 21% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 136 active listings in the ZIP; 16 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 44% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 2,114 units permitted in Jefferson County in 2024 (556 in 5+ unit buildings).
Jefferson County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
5 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $100k; 30% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.5% in Vestavia Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 48 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 5% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1969 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HP36YKFZZC4EJF
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29