3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,555 sqft ·
Built 1937
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 16 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,541/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$865
Tax + insurance
−$98
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$324
Net cashflow
$254/mo
Annual
$3,046/yr
Cap rate
8.14%
Cash-on-cash
6.59%
DSCR
1.29
1% rule
0.93%
Cash to close
$46,200
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (6.6% below list).
It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $154k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#295 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
Blount County (rural): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #54 of 129 in AL (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Susan Moore Elementary School (math 17% / reading 40%, grade F, #382 of 627 statewide, top 61%, 634 students, 76% FRL); Hayden Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #61 of 257 statewide, top 24%, 550 students, 44% FRL); Susan Moore High School (math 6% / reading 29%, grade F, #189 of 305 statewide, top 62%, 481 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 46% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Blount County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $135k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
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· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29