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4351 County Highway 14
B- Composite 68.76
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.7/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +6.9/10.0
  • 1% rule +4.3/10.0
  • Livability +3.0/5.0
  • Schools +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$165,000

4351 County Highway 14 · Snead, AL 35952
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,555 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 16 Days on market
Built 1937 0.50 ac lot Est $216k · 24% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Gorgeous bungalow on . 5 acre corner lot less than a mile from the intersection of Hwy 278 & Hwy 75 in Snead (Altoona address). This home has been lovingly restored, and has 1930's charm, while offering modern convenience. 3 large bedrooms, formal dining & living room, keeping room space off the kitchen, original FP insert, HUGE WALK-IN PANTRY, original CHINA CABINET is built in place, gas back up heaters, and so many new items since it's remodel from 2016-2020, including interior paint, refinished floors, all lights, fixtures, cabinets, updated wiring, plumbing, HVAC in '16, half bath added in HUGE LAUNDRY w/ space to add clawfoot tub! Laundry Room also has a utility/doggie sink! Home has 3 entrances, large front porch, nice screened side porch, propane tank to remain. There are even a couple of extra surprises that add to the appeal! The flat yard, original barn, and proximity to work are all bonuses!

Key facts

  • Screened back porch
  • Front porch
  • Historic charm

Tags

HARDWOOD FLOORSWOOD SLAT CEILINGSFRONT PORCHSCREENED BACK PORCHMATURE LANDSCAPINGHISTORIC CHARM

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot approximately 0.5 acre; Subdivision: Metes And Bounds; Property not new construction
  • HOA & community: No association

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached one-car garage; Dirt driveway
  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Built in 1937; Living area approximately 1,550; Has fireplace
  • Exterior features: Gazebo; Dirt driveway; Covered porch; Front porch; Screened porch

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 9
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central cooling; Central heating; Wall furnace; Propane heating
  • Interior features: Basement with crawl space; Fireplace (one)

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $254 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $154k (6.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $154k (6.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 60/100 on livability (#295 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: employment D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Blount County (rural): math 20% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #54 of 129 in AL (top 42%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Susan Moore Elementary School (math 17% / reading 40%, grade F, #382 of 627 statewide, top 61%, 634 students, 76% FRL); Hayden Middle School (math 28% / reading 51%, grade F, #61 of 257 statewide, top 24%, 550 students, 44% FRL); Susan Moore High School (math 6% / reading 29%, grade F, #189 of 305 statewide, top 62%, 481 students, 74% FRL) — zoned schools average 65% FRL vs 46% district-wide (19 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 38 active listings in the ZIP; 13 units permitted in Blount County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $18k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $16k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Blount County population projected to shrink 8% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$45k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 16 days — a 2% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $30k (15%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $135k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1937 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $154,105 (6.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1937 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.93%
Cap rate
8.14%
Cash-on-cash
6.59%
DSCR
1.29
GRM
8.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$216,145
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1000 Moore Rd 0.50mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,626 (+5%) 2mo $226,000 $139 59

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
29.0%
Equity multiple
3.29×
Total profit
$105,947
Equity at exit
$148,645
10-year hold
IRR
25.2%
Equity multiple
7.47×
Total profit
$299,112
Equity at exit
$320,559

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35952

Home prices YoY
6.0%
Active inventory
38
Price-to-rent
8.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,541 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$30 /mo · $354/yr
Insurance
$69
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$324
Net cashflow
$254

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,220
Max offer price $165,000
Occupancy floor 79%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $347 -5% $301 +0% $254 +5% $207 +10% $-37
Rent -10% $132 -5% $193 +0% $254 +5% $315 +10% $376
Rate -1.0pp $337 -0.5pp $296 base $254 +0.5pp $211 +1.0pp $168

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 11 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $165,000 Active 16 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 13 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 12 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 11 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 10 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 8 DOM
  7. 2026-06-10
    pricedays on market $165,000 Active 5 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $195,000 Active 4 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 3 DOM
  10. 2026-06-05
    remarks 393-char remark
  11. 2026-06-05
    listed $195,000 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$354 · $30/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$677 · $56/mo
Expected delta
+$322/yr (+$27/mo · 90.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$18,493
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$354
− Insurance
−$825
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,479
− Management
−$1,479
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable income
$312
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$75
After-tax cash flow
$2,972/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Blount County
NCES district ID
0100420
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -25.00%
Reading proficiency
45% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$45,961
Composite
27.79/100
National rank
#6891
State rank
#54 of 129 in AL

Livability — Snead

Score
60/100
State rank
#295
US rank
#18981

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment D+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Snead, AL
Population (ZIP)
8,901

Population outlook (Blount County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
57,983 people
By 2030
57,405 · -1.0%
By 2040
55,602 · -4.1%
By 2050
53,393 · -7.9%
By 2075
48,248 · -16.8%
By 2100
44,190 · -23.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (87%)
Race & ethnicity
White 87% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 11%
Common ancestry
Iranian 3% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
7% · Canada
Languages at home
88% English-only · Spanish 11%

Political lean MEDSL · Blount

2024 margin
Solid R (+81.0) · D 9.2% · R 90.2%
2008→2024 swing
-11.5pp toward R · 2008: -69.5pp · 2024: -81.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+81.0 2020: R+80.0 2016: R+81.4 2012: R+74.1 2008: R+69.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.05%
Current HPI
249.8629
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+1138.1% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-04 Listed $195,000 VMLS
  • 2021-01-19 Sold (Public Records) $135,000 Public Records
  • 2021-01-08 Sold (MLS) $135,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-11-29 Pending Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-10-26 Listed $149,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2020-10-13 Coming Soon $149,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-03-15 Price Changed $122,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2015-09-18 Sold (MLS) $19,000 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2015-08-21 Delisted Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2015-07-23 Listed $15,750 Greater Alabama MLS

Property tax history

-0.9%/yr

Latest (2021): $354 · -13.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…