2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
960 sqft ·
Built 1984
· Manufactured
· Active
· 23 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,754/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$351
Tax + insurance
−$112
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$368
Net cashflow
$924/mo
Annual
$11,083/yr
Cap rate
22.86%
Cash-on-cash
59.17%
DSCR
3.63
1% rule
2.62%
Cash to close
$18,732
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $67k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $924 ($11k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $67k).
It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $66k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $463 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#57 in OR, #1,930 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: cost of living C-, health & safety D+, amenities F.
North Marion SD 15 (rural): math 27% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #131 of 183 in OR (top 72%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: North Marion Primary School (326 students, 58% FRL); North Marion Middle School (math 12% / reading 27%, grade F, #124 of 128 statewide, top 98%, 385 students, 52% FRL); North Marion High School (math 10% / reading 50%, grade F, #107 of 143 statewide, top 78%, 603 students, 45% FRL) — zoned schools at 52% FRL track the district average.
Market conditions: 20 active listings in the ZIP; 1,591 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (716 in 5+ unit buildings).
Marion County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: Paint
— Paint is faded and peeling in some areas.
Moderate: Siding
— Siding appears weathered and in need of repainting.
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Cabinets appear dated but not structurally damaged.
Minor: Bathroom fixtures
— Bathtub and fixtures appear dated but functional.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HPKTP9ECJ8S15K
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29