605 Canoe Trl

Bossier City, LA 71111

$279,000D

3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,542 sqft · Built 2013 · Other · Active · 45 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,002/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,463
• Tax + insurance: −$294
• HOA: −$22
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$420
• Net cashflow: $-197/mo
• Annual: $-2,364/yr
• Cap rate: 5.45%
• Cash-on-cash: -3.03%
• DSCR: 0.87
• 1% rule: 0.72%
• Cash to close: $78,120

Investor read

• This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $279k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-197 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $244k (12.5% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (28.2% below list).
• It's been on market 45 days — a 3% lower offer ($271k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $200k (28.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 71/100 on livability (#47 in LA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+, crime F, amenities F.
• Bossier Parish (urban): math 40% / reading 47% proficiency, ranked #17 of 98 in LA (top 17%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Kingston Elementary School (math 73% / reading 69%, grade A-, #23 of 646 statewide, top 4%, 820 students, 33% FRL); Benton Middle School (math 49% / reading 58%, grade C+, #21 of 218 statewide, top 9%, 850 students, 34% FRL); Benton High School (math 55% / reading 63%, grade C+, #22 of 265 statewide, top 8%, 1,538 students, 28% FRL).
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 61% at this address vs 44% district-wide (+18 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Bossier Parish average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
• Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.6%/yr); 426 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 716 units permitted in Bossier Parish in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Bossier County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• Current owner paid $229k; 22% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 66% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• This rent runs 37% of the median local income ($65k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Questions for listing agent

• What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
• It's been on market 45 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 28% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.