5556 Shaffer Rd NW

Champion Heights, OH 44481

$42,900A-

1 bd · 1.0 ba · 864 sqft · Built 1930 · SingleFamily · Active · 71 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $849/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$225
• Tax + insurance: −$65
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$178
• Net cashflow: $381/mo
• Annual: $4,574/yr
• Cap rate: 16.95%
• Cash-on-cash: 38.08%
• DSCR: 2.69
• 1% rule: 1.98%
• Cash to close: $12,012

Investor read

• This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $43k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $381 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($849 rent vs $43k).
• It's been on market 71 days — a 6% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $40k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• In year one you build about $5k of equity ($297 loan paydown + $4k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
• Location reads 68/100 on livability (#569 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, amenities F.
• Champion Local (suburban): math 70% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #131 of 656 in OH (top 20%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Market conditions: 37 active listings in the ZIP; 129 units permitted in Trumbull County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Trumbull County population projected at -22% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• Current owner paid $25k; list at $43k implies a 72% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $12k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
• By year 7, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
• Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
• Cap rate 17.0% vs local median 2.9% in Champion Heights — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
• This rent is only 16% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — well below the 30% rent-burden line; pricing power to push rent on renewal without tenant pushback.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 71 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.