2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
850 sqft ·
Built 1949
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 52 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$202
Tax + insurance
−$25
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$189
Net cashflow
$484/mo
Annual
$5,813/yr
Cap rate
21.39%
Cash-on-cash
53.92%
DSCR
3.40
1% rule
2.34%
Cash to close
$10,780
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($900 rent vs $38k).
It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $37k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $266 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 65/100 on livability (#313 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
Fayette County School Corporation (town): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #206 of 301 in IN (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Grandview Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #652 of 994 statewide, top 68%, 539 students, 71% FRL); Connersville Middle School (math 21% / reading 38%, grade F, #212 of 330 statewide, top 67%, 505 students, 61% FRL); Connersville Sr High School (math 26% / reading 62%, grade F, #189 of 369 statewide, top 51%, 966 students, 55% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 20 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fayette County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 4.9% in Connersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HQ30278W5E0CFZ
· Data 10 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29