210 25th St · Connersville, IN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $717 – $1,331
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 100°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +2.3/10.0
$38,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
2-bedroom home offering convenience and accessibility. This inviting property features a thoughtfully designed handicap-accessible bathroom, providing ease of use and peace of mind. The home offers a functional layout with cozy living spaces, perfect for everyday living or investment potential. Home does need some TLC. A highly motivated seller makes this an excellent opportunity - don’t miss your chance to make this home your own!
Key facts
- 4,356 sq ft lot
- Built 1949
- Listed 52 days
Property features AI
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Residential property
- Construction: Frame construction
- Exterior features: Shed(s); Lot approximately 50 x 83 (0.1 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: 5 total rooms (bedroom count not specified)
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Range, Refrigerator, Gas water heater; Crawl space basement
- Laundry & utility: Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $38k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $484 ($6k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($900 rent vs $38k).
- Recommended offer: $37k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.4% vs local median 4.9% in Connersville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#313 in IN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Fayette County School Corporation (town): math 29% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #206 of 301 in IN (top 68%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Grandview Elementary School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #652 of 994 statewide, top 68%, 539 students, 71% FRL).
- Market conditions: 172 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 20 units permitted in Fayette County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $266 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Fayette County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($37k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $2k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1949 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1949 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.34% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.39%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.92%
- DSCR
- 3.40
- GRM
- 3.6
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $124,806
- List price
- $38,500
- Delta
- -69.15%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2601 Virginia Ave | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 | 830 (-2%) | 2mo | $143,000 | $172 | 90 |
| 2407 Virginia Ave | 0.11mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (+4%) | 6mo | $124,900 | $141 | 83 |
| 2827 N Grand Ave | 0.35mi | 2/1.0 | 880 (+4%) | 8mo | $131,000 | $149 | 71 |
| 2345 Ohio Ave | 0.15mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 792 (-7%) | 9mo | $129,900 | $164 | 70 |
| 110 W 28th St | 0.24mi | 2/1.0 | 754 (-11%) | 1mo | $119,000 | $158 | 70 |
| 2848 Iowa Ave | 0.40mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (+4%) | 8mo | $75,000 | $85 | 67 |
| 2308 Vermont Ave | 0.33mi | 2/1.0 | 780 (-8%) | 6mo | $115,000 | $147 | 66 |
| 529 W 20th St | 0.69mi | 2/1.0 | 884 (+4%) | 7mo | $87,000 | $98 | 56 |
| 506 32nd St | 0.59mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-12%) | 2mo | $110,000 | $148 | 50 |
| 710 Scott St | 0.64mi | 2/1.0 | 928 (+9%) | 8mo | $137,000 | $148 | 48 |
| 636 Lexington Pl | 0.66mi | 2/1.0 | 960 (+13%) | 5mo | $110,000 | $115 | 43 |
| 701 W 32nd St | 0.62mi | 2/1.0 | 744 (-12%) | 9mo | $111,000 | $149 | 43 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 52.0%
- Equity multiple
- 3.28×
- Total profit
- $24,603
- Equity at exit
- $5,740
- IRR
- 57.3%
- Equity multiple
- 6.67×
- Total profit
- $61,107
- Equity at exit
- $3,329
Cash invested: $10,780 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Indiana
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 47331
- Home prices YoY
- -2.1%
- Active inventory
- 172
- Price-to-rent
- 3.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $900 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$202
- Tax from tax record
- −$9 /mo · $104/yr
- Insurance
- −$16
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$189
- Net cashflow
- $484
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $506 | -5% $495 | +0% $484 | +5% $474 | +10% $463 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $413 | -5% $449 | +0% $484 | +5% $520 | +10% $556 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $504 | -0.5pp $494 | base $484 | +0.5pp $474 | +1.0pp $464 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $9,625
- Closing costs
- $1,155
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 309 W 11th St Connersville, IN | 2.0 | 1.0 | 984 | $900 | $0.91 | 25d | 1 | 1.32mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $38,500 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $38,500 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $38,500 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $38,500 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $38,500 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $38,500 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $38,500 Active 44 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $38,500 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $38,500 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $38,500 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $38,500 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $38,500 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $38,500 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $38,500 Active 33 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $38,500 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $38,500 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $38,500 Active 30 DOM
-
2026-04-29$40,500 Active 441-char remark
Show marketing remark (441 chars)
2-bedroom home offering convenience and accessibility. This inviting property features a thoughtfully designed handicap-accessible bathroom, providing ease of use and peace of mind. The home offers a functional layout with cozy living spaces, perfect for everyday living or investment potential. Home does need some TLC. A highly motivated seller makes this an excellent opportunity - don’t miss your chance to make this home your own!
-
2026-04-29$40,900 Active
Show marketing remark (441 chars)
2-bedroom home offering convenience and accessibility. This inviting property features a thoughtfully designed handicap-accessible bathroom, providing ease of use and peace of mind. The home offers a functional layout with cozy living spaces, perfect for everyday living or investment potential. Home does need some TLC. A highly motivated seller makes this an excellent opportunity - don’t miss your chance to make this home your own!
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IN · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $104 · $9/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $216 · $18/mo
- Expected delta
- +$112/yr (+$9/mo · 107.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,800
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,157
- − Property taxes
- −$104
- − Insurance
- −$192
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$864
- − Management
- −$864
- − Depreciation
- −$1,120
- Taxable income
- $5,499
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,320
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,493/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Fayette County School Corporation
- NCES district ID
- 1803510
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,669
- Composite
- 28.81/100
- National rank
- #6659
- State rank
- #206 of 301 in IN
Livability — Connersville
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #313
- US rank
- #12417
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Connersville, IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,769
Population outlook (Fayette County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 21,758 people
- By 2030
- 20,673 · -5.0%
- By 2040
- 18,335 · -15.7%
- By 2050
- 16,056 · -26.2%
- By 2075
- 11,030 · -49.3%
- By 2100
- 6,800 · -68.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 1% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 2% Slovak 1% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Fayette
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+56.3) · D 21.2% · R 77.5% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -50.8pp toward R · 2008: -5.6pp · 2024: -56.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+56.3 2020: R+54.4 2016: R+48.1 2012: R+16.9 2008: R+5.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -5.33%
- Current HPI
- 252.3898
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.90%
- F500 in state
- 18
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Machinery | 2 | $37B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $177B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 1 | $45B |
|
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| Metals / Steel | 1 | $18B |
|
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| Agriculture | 1 | $17B |
|
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| Packaging | 1 | $12B |
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Price history
-4.9% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $38,500 RRELMS
- 2026-05-20 Price Changed $38,500 ECIAOR
- 2026-04-29 Listed $40,900 ECIAOR
- 2026-04-29 Listed $40,500 RRELMS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…