2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,040 sqft ·
Built 1999
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 80 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,157/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$671
Tax + insurance
−$213
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$243
Net cashflow
$30/mo
Annual
$360/yr
Cap rate
6.57%
Cash-on-cash
1.00%
DSCR
1.04
1% rule
0.90%
Cash to close
$35,812
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $128k. Condition is rated good.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $30 ($360/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $116k (9.6% below list).
It's been on market 80 days — a 6% lower offer ($120k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $116k (9.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $884 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 59/100 on livability (#415 in KY) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+; Watch: employment C-, housing C-, amenities F.
Ballard County (rural): math 31% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #61 of 165 in KY (top 37%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Ballard County Elementary School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #208 of 676 statewide, top 34%, 467 students, 58% FRL); Ballard County Middle School (math 24% / reading 39%, grade F, #125 of 217 statewide, top 63%, 215 students, 58% FRL).
Market conditions: 56 active listings in the ZIP.
Ballard County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 80 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 10% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HQ9HD67AQ6A93B
· Data 14 min agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29