2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,344 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Pending
· 111 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,299/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$760
Tax + insurance
−$633
HOA
−$281
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$483
Net cashflow
$142/mo
Annual
$1,705/yr
Cap rate
11.00%
Cash-on-cash
16.81%
DSCR
1.75
1% rule
1.59%
Cash to close
$40,600
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $145k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $142 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
It's been on market 111 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $132k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $16k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $14k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
Location reads 71/100 on livability (#381 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Volusia (suburban): math 44% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #47 of 73 in FL (top 64%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Osteen Elementary School (math 54% / reading 56%, grade C, #872 of 2,144 statewide, top 42%, 469 students, 60% FRL); Heritage Middle School (math 38% / reading 41%, grade F, #373 of 571 statewide, top 66%, 993 students, 61% FRL); Pine Ridge High School (math 19% / reading 38%, grade F, #458 of 667 statewide, top 69%, 1,636 students, 54% FRL).
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
Market conditions: 87 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 3,402 units permitted in Volusia County in 2024 (681 in 5+ unit buildings).
Volusia County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
6 sale attempts since 7y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$39k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 111 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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