4 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,813 sqft ·
Built 2026
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 101 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,702/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,206
Tax + insurance
−$383
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$357
Net cashflow
$-245/mo
Annual
$-2,934/yr
Cap rate
5.02%
Cash-on-cash
-4.56%
DSCR
0.80
1% rule
0.74%
Cash to close
$64,372
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $230k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-245 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (15.4% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (26.0% below list).
It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $170k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
Location reads 62/100 on livability (#768 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.4% in East Bronson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HS30QRF1AX59JS
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29