7251 NE 105th Ave · East Bronson, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +7.9/30.0
- ARV discount +7.6/15.0
- Appreciation +6.2/10.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- DSCR +2.0/10.0
$229,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Under contract-accepting backup offers. One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. HUGE PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Just completed on March 20th, this brand-new mobile home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owner. Brand New 2026 mobile home with 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,813 sq. Features include FHA/VA-compliant stucco skirting with venting, new septic, well, underground electric, planted grass, sod, and fiber availability. Located on a 1.25-acre corner lot with a split bedroom layout and no HOA. 30 minutes from Gainesville and 40 minutes from Ocala.
Key facts
- Split-bedroom layout
- Centrally located
- Corner lot
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $230k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-245 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (15.4% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (26.0% below list).
- Recommended offer: $170k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.4% in East Bronson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#768 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
- Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
- Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.02%
- Cash-on-cash
- -4.56%
- DSCR
- 0.80
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $230,251
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7251 NE 105th Ave | 0.00mi | 4/2.0 | 1,813 (0%) | 1mo | $229,900 | $127 | 99 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
2.35% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 1.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.07×
- Total profit
- $4,308
- Equity at exit
- $95,034
- IRR
- 5.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.73×
- Total profit
- $47,249
- Equity at exit
- $140,277
Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32621
- Home prices YoY
- 0.7%
- Active inventory
- 153
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,702 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,206
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$287 /mo · $3,448/yr
- Insurance
- −$96
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $-245
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $57,475
- Closing costs
- $6,897
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 4 events
-
2026-04-17status Pending
-
2026-03-31price $229,900
-
2026-03-20price $247,900
-
2026-01-06$249,900 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,419
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,878
- − Property taxes
- −$3,448
- − Insurance
- −$1,150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,634
- − Management
- −$1,634
- − Depreciation
- −$6,688
- Taxable loss
- −$7,012
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,683
- After-tax cash flow
- $-1,251/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Levy
- NCES district ID
- 1201140
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,254
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4673
- State rank
- #54 of 73 in FL
Livability — East Bronson
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #768
- US rank
- #17230
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Bronson, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,540
Population outlook (Levy County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,536 people
- By 2030
- 34,498 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 30,294 · -17.1%
- By 2050
- 26,368 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 19,003 · -48.0%
- By 2100
- 13,169 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (68%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 68% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 8%
Political lean MEDSL · Levy
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.6% · R 74.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 2.35%
- Current HPI
- 340.879
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-8.0% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-17 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-31 Price Changed $229,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-20 Price Changed $247,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-01-06 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…