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7251 NE 105th Ave
D- Composite 37.76
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +7.9/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +6.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • DSCR +2.0/10.0

$229,900

7251 NE 105th Ave · East Bronson, FL 32621
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,813 sqft · Manufactured · 101 Days on market
Built 2026 1.25 ac lot Est $230k · at est. ↓ 8% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. One or more photo(s) has been virtually staged. HUGE PRICE IMPROVEMENT! Just completed on March 20th, this brand-new mobile home is move-in ready and waiting for its new owner. Brand New 2026 mobile home with 4 bedrooms, 2 bathrooms, and 1,813 sq. Features include FHA/VA-compliant stucco skirting with venting, new septic, well, underground electric, planted grass, sod, and fiber availability. Located on a 1.25-acre corner lot with a split bedroom layout and no HOA. 30 minutes from Gainesville and 40 minutes from Ocala.

Key facts

  • Split-bedroom layout
  • Centrally located
  • Corner lot

Tags

CORNER LOTSPLIT-BEDROOM LAYOUTNEW-CONSTRUCTION HOMELOW TAX PROPERTYCENTRALLY LOCATED

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
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What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $230k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-245 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $195k (15.4% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (26.0% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $170k (26.0% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.0% vs local median 3.4% in East Bronson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#768 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, schools F, amenities F.
  • Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $5k appreciation (2.4% local appreciation)).
  • Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$30k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($209k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $170,161 (26.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.02%
Cash-on-cash
-4.56%
DSCR
0.80
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$230,251
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7251 NE 105th Ave 0.00mi 4/2.0 1,813 (0%) 1mo $229,900 $127 99

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

2.35% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
1.2%
Equity multiple
1.07×
Total profit
$4,308
Equity at exit
$95,034
10-year hold
IRR
5.2%
Equity multiple
1.73×
Total profit
$47,249
Equity at exit
$140,277

Cash invested: $64,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32621

Home prices YoY
0.7%
Active inventory
153
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,702 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,206
Tax est. 1.5%
$287 /mo · $3,448/yr
Insurance
$96
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$357
Net cashflow
$-245

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,011
Max offer price $194,518
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$57,475
Closing costs
$6,897
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-04-17
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-31
    price $229,900
  3. 2026-03-20
    price $247,900
  4. 2026-01-06
    listed $249,900 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$20,419
− Mortgage interest
−$12,878
− Property taxes
−$3,448
− Insurance
−$1,150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,634
− Management
−$1,634
− Depreciation
−$6,688
Taxable loss
−$7,012
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,683
After-tax cash flow
$-1,251/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Levy
NCES district ID
1201140
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,254
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4673
State rank
#54 of 73 in FL

Livability — East Bronson

Score
62/100
State rank
#768
US rank
#17230

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Bronson, FL
Population (ZIP)
5,540

Population outlook (Levy County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,536 people
By 2030
34,498 · -5.6%
By 2040
30,294 · -17.1%
By 2050
26,368 · -27.8%
By 2075
19,003 · -48.0%
By 2100
13,169 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (68%)
Race & ethnicity
White 68% Hispanic / Latino 14% Black 9% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 6% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2% Serbian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
91% English-only · Spanish 8%

Political lean MEDSL · Levy

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.6% · R 74.8%
2008→2024 swing
-23.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -50.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 2.35%
Current HPI
340.879
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-8.0% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $229,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $247,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-01-06 Listed $249,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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