88 bd · 44.0 ba ·
4,614 sqft ·
Built 1985
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$42,084/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$15,732
Tax + insurance
−$2,139
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$8,838
Net cashflow
$15,375/mo
Annual
$184,498/yr
Cap rate
12.44%
Cash-on-cash
21.96%
DSCR
1.98
1% rule
1.40%
Cash to close
$840,000
Investor read
This is a 44 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $3.00M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $15k ($184k/yr) — positive. Per door: $349/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($42k rent vs $3.00M).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($2.82M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $2.82M (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $21k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $90k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 80/100 on livability (#23 in IN, #1,958 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools C-, employment D, commute F.
North Lawrence Community Schools (rural): math 35% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #170 of 301 in IN (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 158 active listings in the ZIP; 8 units permitted in Lawrence County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Lawrence County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $2.19M; 37% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $840k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 12.4% vs local median 4.2% in Bedford — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $42,084/mo this rent would consume 741% of the median local household income ($68k/yr) (locally 507% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HS9126FDQZBN33
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29