2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,001 sqft ·
Built 1979
· Condo
· Active
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,421/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$577
Tax + insurance
−$315
HOA
−$530
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$298
Net cashflow
$-299/mo
Annual
$-3,588/yr
Cap rate
3.76%
Cash-on-cash
-9.06%
DSCR
0.60
1% rule
1.29%
Cash to close
$30,800
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-299 ($-4k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $57k (48.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($107k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $57k (48.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($761 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
Location reads 74/100 on livability (#184 in TX, #4,771 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: crime F.
Clear Creek ISD (suburban): math 48% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #114 of 826 in TX (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Zoned schools: Clear Lake H S (math 57% / reading 65%, grade C+, #258 of 1,632 statewide, top 16%, 2,533 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 25% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; HOA is 37% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents flat; 207 active listings in the ZIP; 40 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 8d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 29,883 units permitted in Harris County in 2024 (8,621 in 5+ unit buildings).
Harris County population projected at +47% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→26/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 48% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
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· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29