3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,090 sqft ·
Built 1950
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 73 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,353/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$812
Tax + insurance
−$258
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$284
Net cashflow
$-2/mo
Annual
$-24/yr
Cap rate
6.28%
Cash-on-cash
-0.06%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$43,372
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-24/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (0.2% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (12.7% below list).
It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $135k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 72/100 on livability (#32 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
Morgan County (rural): math 19% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 129 in AL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Danvilleneel Elementary School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 524 students, 58% FRL); Danville Middle School (math 5% / reading 31%, grade F, #197 of 257 statewide, top 77%, 377 students, 62% FRL); Danville High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #195 of 305 statewide, top 68%, 355 students, 53% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.0% in Hartselle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Moderate: kitchen cabinets
— Worn and dated appearance
Moderate: bathroom fixtures
— Dated appearance
Minor: landscaping
— Some overgrowth
CashFlowRE · CFR-HSVRM20B2VRR1B
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29