6038 Norris Mill Rd · Hartselle, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 22.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.2/30.0
- ARV discount +11.7/15.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.2/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$154,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming opportunity in Oak Ridge in Hartselle with solid bones and great potential. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home offers approximately 1100 square feet with a functional layout and durable flooring throughout. Recent roof adds peace of mind while natural gas heat provides efficient warmth. Home will need cosmetic updates and electrical upgrades for VA or FHA financing and does not currently have central air. Ideal for conventional or cash buyers ready to add value and make it their own. Great chance to build equity in a growing area.
Key facts
- 0.44 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1950
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $155k. Condition is rated fair.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-2 ($-24/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $155k (0.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $135k (12.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $135k (12.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 4.0% in Hartselle — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 72/100 on livability (#32 in AL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
- Morgan County (rural): math 19% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 129 in AL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Danvilleneel Elementary School (math 32% / reading 52%, grade F, #213 of 627 statewide, top 37%, 524 students, 58% FRL); Danville Middle School (math 5% / reading 31%, grade F, #197 of 257 statewide, top 77%, 377 students, 62% FRL); Danville High School (math 12% / reading 22%, grade F, #195 of 305 statewide, top 68%, 355 students, 53% FRL).
- Market conditions: 193 active listings in the ZIP; 231 units permitted in Morgan County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Morgan County population projected at -11% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($146k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1950 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 13% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
- Built in 1950 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.28%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.06%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $170,884
- List price
- $154,900
- Delta
- -9.35%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 3 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6030 Norris Mill Rd | 0.04mi | 2/2.0 (-1) | 1,180 (+8%) | 9mo | $147,700 | $125 | 68 |
| 2337 Vaughn Bridge Rd | 0.70mi | 3/1.0 | 1,027 (-6%) | 5mo | $160,000 | $156 | 54 |
| 2856 Vaughn Bridge Rd | 0.73mi | 3/1.0 | 1,100 (+1%) | 20mo | $200,000 | $182 | 48 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-25,207
- Equity at exit
- $23,096
- IRR
- -8.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.49×
- Total profit
- $-22,030
- Equity at exit
- $13,393
Cash invested: $43,372 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35640
- Home prices YoY
- -13.6%
- Active inventory
- 193
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,353 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$812
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$194 /mo · $2,324/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$284
- Net cashflow
- $-2
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $105 | -5% $52 | +0% $-2 | +5% $-56 | +10% $-109 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-109 | -5% $-55 | +0% $-2 | +5% $51 | +10% $105 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $76 | -0.5pp $37 | base $-2 | +0.5pp $-42 | +1.0pp $-83 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,725
- Closing costs
- $4,647
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $154,900 Active 73 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $154,900 Active 70 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $154,900 Active 69 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $154,900 Active 68 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 557-char remark
-
2026-06-15days on market $154,900 Active 67 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $154,900 Active 65 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $154,900 Active 64 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $154,900 Active 62 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $154,900 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $154,900 Active 60 DOM
-
2026-06-07pricedays on market $154,900 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $159,000 Active 54 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $159,000 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $159,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $159,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-04-09$159,000 Active 537-char remark
Show marketing remark (537 chars)
Charming opportunity in Oak Ridge in Hartselle with solid bones and great potential. This 3 bedroom 1 bath home offers approximately 1100 square feet with a functional layout and durable flooring throughout. Recent roof adds peace of mind while natural gas heat provides efficient warmth. Home will need cosmetic updates and electrical upgrades for VA or FHA financing and does not currently have central air. Ideal for conventional or cash buyers ready to add value and make it their own. Great chance to build equity in a growing area.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 22% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $16,230
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,677
- − Property taxes
- −$2,324
- − Insurance
- −$774
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,298
- − Management
- −$1,298
- − Depreciation
- −$4,506
- Taxable loss
- −$2,648
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$635
- After-tax cash flow
- $612/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 13 photos
This home has solid bones with potential for moderate updates to increase its value. The kitchen and bathroom need significant updates, while the exterior and landscaping can be improved with minor work.
Repairs flagged
- Moderate kitchen cabinets — Worn and dated appearance
- Moderate bathroom fixtures — Dated appearance
- Minor landscaping — Some overgrowth
Value-add opportunities
- Resale New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes kitchen and increases appeal
- Resale New bathroom fixtures — Enhances bathroom functionality and appeal
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen cabinets · Worn and dated appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| bathroom fixtures · Dated appearance | Moderate | $3,000–15,000 |
| landscaping · Some overgrowth | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $6,500–33,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Resale New kitchen cabinets and countertops — Modernizes kitchen and increases appeal ↑
- Resale New bathroom fixtures — Enhances bathroom functionality and appeal ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and property value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Morgan County
- NCES district ID
- 0102480
- Math proficiency
- 19% ▼ -28.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $47,362
- Composite
- 26.68/100
- National rank
- #7157
- State rank
- #61 of 129 in AL
Livability — Hartselle
- Score
- 72/100
- State rank
- #32
- US rank
- #6515
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 26,976
- Population (ZIP)
- 26,976
Population outlook (Morgan County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 118,775 people
- By 2030
- 116,979 · -1.5%
- By 2040
- 111,800 · -5.9%
- By 2050
- 105,181 · -11.4%
- By 2075
- 87,736 · -26.1%
- By 2100
- 67,624 · -43.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Black 5% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Morgan
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+52.6) · D 23.2% · R 75.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -43.8pp · 2024: -52.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+52.6 2020: R+49.2 2016: R+52.4 2012: R+44.5 2008: R+43.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -38.12%
- Current HPI
- 242.5778
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
||
| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-04-09 Listed $159,000 VMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…