2 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,727 sqft ·
Built 1988
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 51 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,974/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,988
Tax + insurance
−$351
HOA
−$261
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$835
Net cashflow
$540/mo
Annual
$6,486/yr
Cap rate
8.00%
Cash-on-cash
6.11%
DSCR
1.27
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$106,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $379k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $540 ($6k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $379k).
It's been on market 51 days — a 3% lower offer ($368k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $368k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $20k of equity ($3k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#192 in FL, #3,070 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, employment A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities D, cost of living F.
Palm Beach (suburban): math 46% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #34 of 73 in FL (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 92 active listings in the ZIP; 14 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); high-income renter base; 3,974 units permitted in Palm Beach County in 2024 (1,012 in 5+ unit buildings).
Palm Beach County population projected at +30% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $127k; list at $379k implies a 198% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $106k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→27/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.0% vs local median 2.8% in Boca Raton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($147k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 51 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HTCX0C7V4BQN02
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29