3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,950 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 90 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,000/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,285
Tax + insurance
−$408
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$420
Net cashflow
$-113/mo
Annual
$-1,358/yr
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.98%
DSCR
0.91
1% rule
0.82%
Cash to close
$68,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-113 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (6.7% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (18.4% below list).
It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $200k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $15k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 73/100 on livability (#271 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
Tolono CUSD 7 (rural): math 35% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #164 of 620 in IL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Unity Jr High School (math 32% / reading 38%, grade F, #191 of 665 statewide, top 30%, 346 students, 0% FRL); Unity High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #62 of 693 statewide, top 10%, 528 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 25% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 573 units permitted in Champaign County in 2024 (359 in 5+ unit buildings).
Champaign County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Current owner paid $129k; list at $245k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HTGCGWBZ04TJCM
· Data 1 day agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29