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5 Truman Ct
D Composite 43.13
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.8/30.0
  • Appreciation +7.6/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +3.2/10.0
  • Schools +3.2/10.0
  • DSCR +3.1/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$245,000

5 Truman Ct · Philo, IL 61864
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,950 sqft · SingleFamily · 90 Days on market
Built 1972 0.49 ac lot $126/sqft · at area comps Est $240k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to this well-maintained brick ranch in the charming community of Philo. This home features a newer metal roof, new siding, updated windows, furnace, and central A/C, offering comfort and peace of mind for years to come. Situated on a generous half-acre lot in the highly sought-after Unit 7 School District, the property provides plenty of space to enjoy both indoors and out. Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, you'll appreciate the peaceful setting while still being just a short drive from nearby amenities. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy small-town living. SELLER IS OFFERING A $5000 CASH CREDIT AT CLOSING TO USE TOWARDS INTERIOR UPDATES.

Key facts

  • 0.49 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1972

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $245k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-113 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $229k (6.7% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $200k (18.4% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $200k (18.4% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#271 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, employment A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
  • Tolono CUSD 7 (rural): math 35% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #164 of 620 in IL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Unity Jr High School (math 32% / reading 38%, grade F, #191 of 665 statewide, top 30%, 346 students, 0% FRL); Unity High School (math 42% / reading 47%, grade F, #62 of 693 statewide, top 10%, 528 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 25% district-wide (25 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 3 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 573 units permitted in Champaign County in 2024 (359 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $15k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $13k appreciation (5.3% local appreciation)).
  • Champaign County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 90 days — a 6% lower offer ($230k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 23y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (6%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $129k; list at $245k implies a 90% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $200,000 (18.4% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 90 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 18% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.82%
Cap rate
5.74%
Cash-on-cash
-1.98%
DSCR
0.91
GRM
10.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$239,875
List price
$245,000
Delta
2.14%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
11 Kennedy Ct 0.06mi 3/2.5 2,159 (+11%) 3mo $315,000 $146 75
103 W Jefferson St 0.53mi 3/2.0 1,744 (-11%) 2mo $260,000 $149 56

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.28% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.9%
Equity multiple
1.77×
Total profit
$53,158
Equity at exit
$142,950
10-year hold
IRR
12.9%
Equity multiple
3.41×
Total profit
$165,283
Equity at exit
$250,181

Cash invested: $68,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 61864

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
3
Price-to-rent
10.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,000 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,285
Tax est. 1.5%
$306 /mo · $3,675/yr
Insurance
$102
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$420
Net cashflow
$-113

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,143
Max offer price $228,628
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $56 -5% $-28 +0% $-113 +5% $-198 +10% $-282
Rent -10% $-271 -5% $-192 +0% $-113 +5% $-34 +10% $45
Rate -1.0pp $10 -0.5pp $-51 base $-113 +0.5pp $-177 +1.0pp $-241

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$61,250
Closing costs
$7,350
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
101 McKinley Cir Philo, IL 3.0 1.0 1300 $2,000 $1.54 23d 1 0.38mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $245,000 Active 90 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $245,000 Active 87 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $245,000 Active 86 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $245,000 Active 85 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $245,000 Active 84 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $245,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $245,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $245,000 Active 79 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $245,000 Active 78 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $245,000 Active 77 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $245,000 Active 76 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $245,000 Active 72 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $245,000 Active 71 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $245,000 Active 70 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $245,000 Active 69 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $245,000 Active 68 DOM
  17. 2026-04-20
    price $245,000 653-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained brick ranch in the charming community of Philo. This home features a newer metal roof, new siding, updated windows, furnace, and central A/C, offering comfort and peace of mind for years to come. Situated on a generous half-acre lot in the highly sought-after Unit 7 School District, the property provides plenty of space to enjoy both indoors and out. Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, you'll appreciate the peaceful setting while still being just a short drive from nearby amenities. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy small-town living. SELLER IS OFFERING A $5000 CASH CREDIT AT CLOSING TO USE TOWARDS INTERIOR UPDATES.

  18. 2026-04-07
    price $255,000 653-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained brick ranch in the charming community of Philo. This home features a newer metal roof, new siding, updated windows, furnace, and central A/C, offering comfort and peace of mind for years to come. Situated on a generous half-acre lot in the highly sought-after Unit 7 School District, the property provides plenty of space to enjoy both indoors and out. Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, you'll appreciate the peaceful setting while still being just a short drive from nearby amenities. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy small-town living. SELLER IS OFFERING A $5000 CASH CREDIT AT CLOSING TO USE TOWARDS INTERIOR UPDATES.

  19. 2026-03-24
    listed $259,900 Active 653-char remark
    Show marketing remark (653 chars)

    Welcome to this well-maintained brick ranch in the charming community of Philo. This home features a newer metal roof, new siding, updated windows, furnace, and central A/C, offering comfort and peace of mind for years to come. Situated on a generous half-acre lot in the highly sought-after Unit 7 School District, the property provides plenty of space to enjoy both indoors and out. Tucked away on a quiet cul-de-sac, you'll appreciate the peaceful setting while still being just a short drive from nearby amenities. A wonderful opportunity to enjoy small-town living. SELLER IS OFFERING A $5000 CASH CREDIT AT CLOSING TO USE TOWARDS INTERIOR UPDATES.

  20. 2003-07-25
    soldstatus $129,000
  21. 2003-07-21
    soldstatus $129,000 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    SPRAWLING BRICK RANCH BUILT BY RICK STEWART, NOTE LARGE ROOMS & BEDROOMS, SUNKEN LR HAS MASSIVE BRICK FR, SHED HAS LOFT FOR EXTRA STORAGE, SPACIOUS GARAGE, RE:OTHER ROOM IS A 3 SEASONS SUNROOM & NOT INCLUDED IN THE SQUARE FOOTAGE, ROOFED IN 2002, STOVE & DISHWASHER NEW 2000, GENERATOR NEW 02, CARPET & VINYL REPLACED IN 99. * PLEASE NOTE THAT THE FRIDGE IN THE KITCHEN IS "AS IS" AND THE ONE IN THE GARAGE CAN STAY IT IS APPROX. 4YRS OLD.

  22. 2003-06-09
    historical 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    SPRAWLING BRICK RANCH BUILT BY RICK STEWART, NOTE LARGE ROOMS & BEDROOMS, SUNKEN LR HAS MASSIVE BRICK FR, SHED HAS LOFT FOR EXTRA STORAGE, SPACIOUS GARAGE, RE:OTHER ROOM IS A 3 SEASONS SUNROOM & NOT INCLUDED IN THE SQUARE FOOTAGE, ROOFED IN 2002, STOVE & DISHWASHER NEW 2000, GENERATOR NEW 02, CARPET & VINYL REPLACED IN 99. * PLEASE NOTE THAT THE FRIDGE IN THE KITCHEN IS "AS IS" AND THE ONE IN THE GARAGE CAN STAY IT IS APPROX. 4YRS OLD.

  23. 2003-03-19
    listed $129,900 472-char remark
    Show marketing remark (472 chars)

    SPRAWLING BRICK RANCH BUILT BY RICK STEWART, NOTE LARGE ROOMS & BEDROOMS, SUNKEN LR HAS MASSIVE BRICK FR, SHED HAS LOFT FOR EXTRA STORAGE, SPACIOUS GARAGE, RE:OTHER ROOM IS A 3 SEASONS SUNROOM & NOT INCLUDED IN THE SQUARE FOOTAGE, ROOFED IN 2002, STOVE & DISHWASHER NEW 2000, GENERATOR NEW 02, CARPET & VINYL REPLACED IN 99. * PLEASE NOTE THAT THE FRIDGE IN THE KITCHEN IS "AS IS" AND THE ONE IN THE GARAGE CAN STAY IT IS APPROX. 4YRS OLD.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,000
− Mortgage interest
−$13,724
− Property taxes
−$3,675
− Insurance
−$1,225
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,920
− Management
−$1,920
− Depreciation
−$7,127
Taxable loss
−$5,591
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,342
After-tax cash flow
$-16/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Tolono CUSD 7
NCES district ID
1739120
Math proficiency
35% ▬ 0.00%
Reading proficiency
36% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$67,482
Composite
32.43/100
National rank
#5723
State rank
#164 of 620 in IL

Livability — Philo

Score
73/100
State rank
#271
US rank
#5122

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Philo, IL
Population (ZIP)
1,714

Population outlook (Champaign County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
223,848 people
By 2030
231,416 · +3.4%
By 2040
244,321 · +9.1%
By 2050
256,432 · +14.6%
By 2075
285,823 · +27.7%
By 2100
296,406 · +32.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Slovak 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
1%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Tagalog/Filipino 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Champaign

2024 margin
Strong D (+24.1) · D 61.3% · R 37.2% · Other 1.5%
2008→2024 swing
+6.6pp toward D · 2008: 17.5pp · 2024: 24.1pp
All cycles
2024: D+24.1 2020: D+22.8 2016: D+18.4 2012: D+6.8 2008: D+17.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.28%
Current HPI
264.5011
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+88.6% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Price Changed $245,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-07 Price Changed $255,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-24 Listed $259,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-07-25 Sold (Public Records) $129,000 Public Records
  • 2003-07-21 Sold (MLS) $129,000 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-06-09 Listing Removed MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-03-19 Listed $129,900 MRED as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-49.1%/yr

Latest (2023): $4 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…