3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
2,620 sqft ·
Built 1972
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 20 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,630/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,589
Tax + insurance
−$192
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$552
Net cashflow
$297/mo
Annual
$3,562/yr
Cap rate
7.47%
Cash-on-cash
4.20%
DSCR
1.19
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$84,840
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $303k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $297 ($4k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $263k (13.2% below list).
It's been on market 20 days — a 2% lower offer ($298k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $263k (13.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 83/100 on livability (#7 in GA, #976 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, housing A+.
Cobb County (suburban): math 39% / reading 45% proficiency, ranked #25 of 174 in GA (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Birney Elementary School (math 15% / reading 17%, grade F, #971 of 1,228 statewide, top 79%, 688 students, 83% FRL); Smitha Middle School (math 19% / reading 30%, grade F, #301 of 470 statewide, top 66%, 881 students, 82% FRL); Osborne High School (math 9% / reading 12%, grade F, #348 of 424 statewide, top 83%, 2,772 students, 75% FRL) — zoned schools average 80% FRL vs 39% district-wide (41 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 17% at this address vs 42% district-wide (-25 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Cobb County average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 170 active listings in the ZIP; 20 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,625 units permitted in Cobb County in 2024 (389 in 5+ unit buildings).
Cobb County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
4 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Climate carrying-cost: moderate wind risk, 23% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.5% vs local median 3.2% in Marietta — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 42% of the median local income ($75k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HW5EFG4P9JR5WS
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29