2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,431 sqft ·
Built 1975
· Townhouse
· Active
· 78 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,336/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$572
Tax + insurance
−$182
HOA
−$385
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$281
Net cashflow
$-83/mo
Annual
$-994/yr
Cap rate
5.38%
Cash-on-cash
-3.26%
DSCR
0.86
1% rule
1.23%
Cash to close
$30,520
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath townhouse listed at $109k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-83 ($-994/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $97k (11.0% below list).
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $109k).
It's been on market 78 days — a 6% lower offer ($102k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (11.0% below list) — sets the bar for cash-flow.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $754 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 70/100 on livability (#315 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F.
L'Anse Creuse Public Schools (suburban): math 31% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #184 of 540 in MI (top 34%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Marie C Graham Elem School (math 22% / reading 37%, grade F, #866 of 1,397 statewide, top 65%, 334 students, 63% FRL); Middle School Central (math 24% / reading 49%, grade F, #264 of 493 statewide, top 54%, 544 students, 47% FRL); High School (math 24% / reading 50%, grade F, #334 of 713 statewide, top 51%, 1,246 students, 41% FRL) — zoned schools average 50% FRL vs 32% district-wide (18 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Watch-outs: HOA is 29% of rent.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 158 active listings in the ZIP; 29 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 29d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 45% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).
Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $11k (9%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 5.4% vs local median 3.5% in Clinton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 78 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 11% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1975 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Major: exterior siding
— The siding is visibly weathered and stained, indicating significant damage.
Major: roof
— The roof shows signs of wear and potential leaks.
Major: carpet
— The carpet in the living room and bedrooms is worn and could be replaced.
Major: interior walls
— The walls and paint show signs of wear and discoloration, indicating a need for repainting.
Major: bathroom fixtures
— The bathrooms have outdated fixtures and lack modern amenities.
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· Data 3 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29