1409 Fulton Rd

Lima, OH 45805

$239,000C

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · Built 2024 · SingleFamily · Pending · 126 DOM

Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)

• Estimated rent: $2,500/mo
• Mortgage (P&I): −$1,253
• Tax + insurance: −$350
• HOA: −$0
• Vac / Maint / Mgmt: −$525
• Net cashflow: $372/mo
• Annual: $4,463/yr
• Cap rate: 8.16%
• Cash-on-cash: 6.67%
• DSCR: 1.30
• 1% rule: 1.05%
• Cash to close: $66,920

Investor read

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.
• At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $239k).
• It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• Recommended offer: $210k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
• Shawnee Local (suburban): math 71% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #100 of 656 in OH (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
• Zoned schools: Elmwood Elementary School (516 students, 30% FRL); Shawnee Middle School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A, #115 of 654 statewide, top 18%, 727 students, 30% FRL); Shawnee High School (math 67% / reading 82%, grade B+, #69 of 781 statewide, top 10%, 707 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 26% FRL track the district average.
• Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
• Current owner paid $91k; list at $239k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
• At $2,500/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Questions for listing agent

• It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
• Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
• Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
• Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
• What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
• What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
• How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.