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1409 Fulton Rd
C Composite 56.31
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +21.8/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • DSCR +7.0/10.0
  • Schools +6.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$239,000

1409 Fulton Rd · Lima, OH 45805
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily · 126 Days on market
Built 2024 10,454 sqft lot $178/sqft · 53% above area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 1409 Fulton Road! Constructed by KM Contracting in 2024, this ranch home features 2 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and lots of things you'll love! Open concept living room and kitchen has vaulted ceilings, dining space, kitchen island, and more! Spacious master suite with private bathroom and large walk-in closet! Tucked away in a quiet Shawnee neighborhood with no neighbors behind, this location is hard to beat! If you've been looking for an affordable, newer-construction home, look no further! Call today to set up your showing!

Key facts

  • Kitchen island
  • Private bathroom
  • Large walk-in closet

Tags

OPEN CONCEPT LIVING ROOMKITCHEN ISLANDPRIVATE BATHROOMLARGE WALK-IN CLOSETNEWER-CONSTRUCTION HOME

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $239k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $372 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $239k).
  • Recommended offer: $210k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#787 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A-; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Shawnee Local (suburban): math 71% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #100 of 656 in OH (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Zoned schools: Elmwood Elementary School (516 students, 30% FRL); Shawnee Middle School (math 67% / reading 77%, grade A, #115 of 654 statewide, top 18%, 727 students, 30% FRL); Shawnee High School (math 67% / reading 82%, grade B+, #69 of 781 statewide, top 10%, 707 students, 19% FRL) — zoned schools at 26% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 106 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 88 units permitted in Allen County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $2,500/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($66k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Allen County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 126 days — a 12% lower offer ($210k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 11y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $20k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $91k; list at $239k implies a 163% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $210,320 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 126 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.16%
Cash-on-cash
6.67%
DSCR
1.30
GRM
8.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$155,801
List price
$239,000
Delta
53.40%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
2390 Baywood Dr 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,154 (-14%) 21mo $168,000 $146 20

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-6.0%
Equity multiple
0.78×
Total profit
$-15,033
Equity at exit
$35,636
10-year hold
IRR
3.6%
Equity multiple
1.26×
Total profit
$17,442
Equity at exit
$20,664

Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45805

Active inventory
106
Price-to-rent
8.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,500 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,253
Tax from tax record
$250 /mo · $3,002/yr
Insurance
$100
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$525
Net cashflow
$372

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,029
Max offer price $239,000
Occupancy floor 80%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $507 -5% $440 +0% $372 +5% $304 +10% $237
Rent -10% $174 -5% $273 +0% $372 +5% $471 +10% $569
Rate -1.0pp $492 -0.5pp $433 base $372 +0.5pp $310 +1.0pp $247

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$59,750
Closing costs
$7,170
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
608 S Primrose Pl Lima, OH 3.0 2.0 1200 $2,500 $2.08 45d 1 0.80mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-05-03
    historical Active Under Contract 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    Welcome to 1409 Fulton Road! Constructed by KM Contracting in 2024, this ranch home features 2 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and lots of things you'll love! Open concept living room and kitchen has vaulted ceilings, dining space, kitchen island, and more! Spacious master suite with private bathroom and large walk-in closet! Tucked away in a quiet Shawnee neighborhood with no neighbors behind, this location is hard to beat! If you've been looking for an affordable, newer-construction home, look no further! Call today to set up your showing!

  2. 2026-04-11
    status Active 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    Welcome to 1409 Fulton Road! Constructed by KM Contracting in 2024, this ranch home features 2 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and lots of things you'll love! Open concept living room and kitchen has vaulted ceilings, dining space, kitchen island, and more! Spacious master suite with private bathroom and large walk-in closet! Tucked away in a quiet Shawnee neighborhood with no neighbors behind, this location is hard to beat! If you've been looking for an affordable, newer-construction home, look no further! Call today to set up your showing!

  3. 2026-04-07
    historical Active Under Contract 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    Welcome to 1409 Fulton Road! Constructed by KM Contracting in 2024, this ranch home features 2 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and lots of things you'll love! Open concept living room and kitchen has vaulted ceilings, dining space, kitchen island, and more! Spacious master suite with private bathroom and large walk-in closet! Tucked away in a quiet Shawnee neighborhood with no neighbors behind, this location is hard to beat! If you've been looking for an affordable, newer-construction home, look no further! Call today to set up your showing!

  4. 2026-03-27
    price $239,000 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    Welcome to 1409 Fulton Road! Constructed by KM Contracting in 2024, this ranch home features 2 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and lots of things you'll love! Open concept living room and kitchen has vaulted ceilings, dining space, kitchen island, and more! Spacious master suite with private bathroom and large walk-in closet! Tucked away in a quiet Shawnee neighborhood with no neighbors behind, this location is hard to beat! If you've been looking for an affordable, newer-construction home, look no further! Call today to set up your showing!

  5. 2026-02-27
    price $245,000 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    Welcome to 1409 Fulton Road! Constructed by KM Contracting in 2024, this ranch home features 2 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and lots of things you'll love! Open concept living room and kitchen has vaulted ceilings, dining space, kitchen island, and more! Spacious master suite with private bathroom and large walk-in closet! Tucked away in a quiet Shawnee neighborhood with no neighbors behind, this location is hard to beat! If you've been looking for an affordable, newer-construction home, look no further! Call today to set up your showing!

  6. 2026-02-02
    price $250,000 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    Welcome to 1409 Fulton Road! Constructed by KM Contracting in 2024, this ranch home features 2 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and lots of things you'll love! Open concept living room and kitchen has vaulted ceilings, dining space, kitchen island, and more! Spacious master suite with private bathroom and large walk-in closet! Tucked away in a quiet Shawnee neighborhood with no neighbors behind, this location is hard to beat! If you've been looking for an affordable, newer-construction home, look no further! Call today to set up your showing!

  7. 2026-01-14
    listed $259,000 Active 543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (543 chars)

    Welcome to 1409 Fulton Road! Constructed by KM Contracting in 2024, this ranch home features 2 bedrooms, 2 full bathrooms, and lots of things you'll love! Open concept living room and kitchen has vaulted ceilings, dining space, kitchen island, and more! Spacious master suite with private bathroom and large walk-in closet! Tucked away in a quiet Shawnee neighborhood with no neighbors behind, this location is hard to beat! If you've been looking for an affordable, newer-construction home, look no further! Call today to set up your showing!

  8. 2021-09-02
    soldstatus $90,900
  9. 2021-09-01
    soldstatus $90,900 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Great starter home or perfect to down size. Spacious living room, 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath that is updated, galley kitchen leading the full block basement. New carpet in both bedrooms, newer windows, siding, boiler system for baseboard hot water heat. Located on a quiet street with a fenced rear lot. 1 car detached garage.

  10. 2021-05-26
    listed $87,900 323-char remark
    Show marketing remark (323 chars)

    Great starter home or perfect to down size. Spacious living room, 2 bedrooms, 1 full bath that is updated, galley kitchen leading the full block basement. New carpet in both bedrooms, newer windows, siding, boiler system for baseboard hot water heat. Located on a quiet street with a fenced rear lot. 1 car detached garage.

  11. 2015-09-08
    soldstatus $22,540
  12. 2015-07-28
    listed $20,600
  13. 2005-06-03
    soldstatus $71,000
  14. 1992-02-18
    soldstatus $49,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,002 · $250/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,365 · $280/mo
Expected delta
+$363/yr (+$30/mo · 12.1%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$30,000
− Mortgage interest
−$13,388
− Property taxes
−$3,002
− Insurance
−$1,195
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,400
− Management
−$2,400
− Depreciation
−$6,953
Taxable income
$663
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$159
After-tax cash flow
$4,304/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Shawnee Local
NCES district ID
3904579
Math proficiency
71% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
77% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$61,634
Composite
63.78/100
National rank
#597
State rank
#100 of 656 in OH

Livability — Lima

Score
64/100
State rank
#787
US rank
#14288

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A- User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Allen · 98,169 people
City population
21,739
Metro
Lima, OH
Population (ZIP)
24,746
Household income
$65,954
Rent vs Own
36.3% rent · 63.7% own
Severe rent burden
8.0

Population outlook (Allen County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
100,321 people
By 2030
97,693 · -2.6%
By 2040
91,802 · -8.5%
By 2050
86,152 · -14.1%
By 2075
73,659 · -26.6%
By 2100
58,716 · -41.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (74%)
Race & ethnicity
White 74% Black 15% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 2% Slovak 2% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 1% Vietnamese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Allen

2024 margin
Solid R (+44.1) · D 27.5% · R 71.6%
2008→2024 swing
-23.4pp toward R · 2008: -20.7pp · 2024: -44.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+44.1 2020: R+39.5 2016: R+38.2 2012: R+25.7 2008: R+20.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -156.78%
Current HPI
210.6397
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+387.8% since first listed
14 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-03 Contingent WCARE
  • 2026-04-11 Relisted WCARE
  • 2026-04-07 Contingent WCARE
  • 2026-03-27 Price Changed $239,000 WCARE
  • 2026-02-27 Price Changed $245,000 WCARE
  • 2026-02-02 Price Changed $250,000 WCARE
  • 2026-01-14 Listed $259,000 WCARE
  • 2021-09-02 Sold (Public Records) $90,900 Public Records
  • 2021-09-01 Sold (MLS) $90,900 WCARE
  • 2021-05-26 Listed $87,900 WCARE
  • 2015-09-08 Sold (MLS) $22,540 WCARE
  • 2015-07-28 Listed $20,600 WCARE
  • 2005-06-03 Sold (Public Records) $71,000 Public Records
  • 1992-02-18 Sold (Public Records) $49,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.5%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,002 · +1182.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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