4 bd · 1.5 ba ·
1,860 sqft ·
Built 1922
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 30 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$2,491/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,416
Tax + insurance
−$602
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$523
Net cashflow
$-50/mo
Annual
$-604/yr
Cap rate
6.07%
Cash-on-cash
-0.80%
DSCR
0.96
1% rule
0.92%
Cash to close
$75,600
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $270k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-50 ($-604/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $261k (3.3% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $249k (7.8% below list).
It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($266k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $249k (7.8% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $8k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#92 in NY, #1,414 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, crime B+; Watch: amenities F.
West Irondequoit Central School District (suburban): math 73% / reading 70% proficiency, ranked #126 of 590 in NY (top 21%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 18% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Zoned schools: Irondequoit High School (math 96% / reading 64%, grade A, #509 of 1,100 statewide, top 46%, 1,163 students, 33% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1922 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 104 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
4 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $15k (5%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Cap rate 6.1% vs local median 4.5% in Irondequoit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 33% of the median local income ($90k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1922 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HYBTFD3Y49V1JP
· Data 4 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29