3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,000 sqft ·
Built 1968
· Manufactured
· Active
· 13 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,683/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$357
Tax + insurance
−$113
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$353
Net cashflow
$860/mo
Annual
$10,317/yr
Cap rate
21.47%
Cash-on-cash
54.19%
DSCR
3.41
1% rule
2.48%
Cash to close
$19,040
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $68k. Condition is rated fair.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $860 ($10k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $68k).
Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $470 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 78/100 on livability (#6 in AK, #2,553 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Anchorage School District (urban): math 37% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #6 of 21 in AK (top 29%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Wonder Park Elementary (math 12% / reading 12%, grade F, #149 of 156 statewide, top 96%, 264 students, 100% FRL); Clark Middle School (math 7% / reading 22%, grade F, #35 of 36 statewide, top 97%, 835 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 100% FRL vs 38% district-wide (62 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 13% at this address vs 40% district-wide (-27 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Anchorage School District average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 147 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 25d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 48% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 306 units permitted in Anchorage Municipality in 2024 (90 in 5+ unit buildings).
Anchorage County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $19k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 21.5% vs local median 3.8% in Anchorage — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Have any recent inspections been done? Can we get a copy of the seller's disclosures and any deferred-maintenance estimates?
Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Kitchen cabinets
— Worn appearance
Minor: Bathtub and fixtures
— Dated appearance
Moderate: Exterior siding
— Weathered and faded
Moderate: Hardwood flooring
— Worn appearance
Moderate: Paint
— Chipped in some areas
CashFlowRE · CFR-HYHZ5ZAC03X0RZ
· Data 3 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29