2 bd · 1.5 ba ·
980 sqft ·
Built 1982
· Manufactured
· Pending
· 28 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,668/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,201
Tax + insurance
−$215
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$350
Net cashflow
$-99/mo
Annual
$-1,183/yr
Cap rate
5.78%
Cash-on-cash
-1.84%
DSCR
0.92
1% rule
0.73%
Cash to close
$64,120
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath manufactured listed at $229k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-99 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $212k (7.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $167k (27.2% below list).
It's been on market 28 days — a 2% lower offer ($226k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $167k (27.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $7k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $6k appreciation (2.5% local appreciation)).
Location reads 55/100 on livability (#242 in MA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: housing A+, cost of living A-; Watch: employment C-, health & safety D, crime F.
Savoy (rural): math 0% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #365 of 371 in MA (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Zoned schools: Emma L Miller Elementary School (math 30% / reading 30%, grade F, #657 of 938 statewide, top 70%, 40 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 38% district-wide (38 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
Market conditions: 6 active listings in the ZIP; 130 units permitted in Berkshire County in 2024 (10 in 5+ unit buildings).
Berkshire County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
3 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HZ9PQ1ET67CR3G
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29