4 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,496 sqft ·
Built 1900
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 151 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,156/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$576
Tax + insurance
−$118
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$243
Net cashflow
$219/mo
Annual
$2,632/yr
Cap rate
8.69%
Cash-on-cash
8.55%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$30,772
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
In year one you build about $2k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
Location reads 69/100 on livability (#188 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
10 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $39k; list at $110k implies a 182% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HZG0E885DP8QW4
· Data 7 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29