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301 Poplar St
C Composite 59.14
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.2/30.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • ARV discount +5.6/15.0
  • Appreciation +5.6/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.9/10.0

$109,900

301 Poplar St · Westernport, MD 21562
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,496 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 151 Days on market
Built 1900 0.29 ac lot $73/sqft · at area comps Est $106k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 301 Poplar St. This home offers all the space you've been looking for, with 3 bedrooms upstairs and one on the main floor. Or turn one into a home office, gym or anything else you can imagine! The main level also offers your full bathroom, laundry room and a nice sunroom in the front to get you a great view of the town and mountains! Large back yard and a covered porch to sit and enjoy the evening or entertaining guests! Don't wait, at this price it won't last long!!

Key facts

  • Covered porch
  • Sunroom
  • Large back yard

Tags

HOME OFFICESUNROOMLARGE BACK YARDCOVERED PORCH

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
  • Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#188 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
  • Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 10 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $39k; list at $110k implies a 182% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $96,712 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.05%
Cap rate
8.69%
Cash-on-cash
8.55%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.9

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$105,503
List price
$109,900
Delta
4.17%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
311 Johnson St 0.13mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,583 (+6%) 8mo $9,000 $6 72
105 Wood St 0.30mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,584 (+6%) 9mo $18,000 $11 63
219 Spruce St 0.06mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,344 (-10%) 23mo $103,000 $77 56
104 Howard St 0.49mi 4/1.0 1,548 (+4%) 21mo $134,000 $87 54
412 Walnut St 0.17mi 4/1.5 1,680 (+12%) 23mo $135,000 $80 51
306 Philos Ave 0.60mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,612 (+8%) 13mo $115,000 $71 43
153 Wood St 0.33mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,656 (+11%) 20mo $44,000 $27 41
202 Riordon Rd 0.62mi 4/1.0 1,344 (-10%) 19mo $60,000 $45 38
207 Central Ave 0.68mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,654 (+11%) 8mo $189,000 $114 33
212 Central Ave 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,372 (-8%) 18mo $120,000 $87 30

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.28% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.0%
Equity multiple
1.57×
Total profit
$17,543
Equity at exit
$39,156
10-year hold
IRR
14.5%
Equity multiple
2.81×
Total profit
$55,731
Equity at exit
$53,327

Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21562

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
23
Price-to-rent
7.9×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,156 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$576
Tax from tax record
$72 /mo · $862/yr
Insurance
$46
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$243
Net cashflow
$219

Break-even live

Break-even rent $878
Max offer price $109,900
Occupancy floor 76%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $282 -5% $250 +0% $219 +5% $188 +10% $157
Rent -10% $128 -5% $174 +0% $219 +5% $265 +10% $311
Rate -1.0pp $275 -0.5pp $247 base $219 +0.5pp $191 +1.0pp $162

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$27,475
Closing costs
$3,297
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 43 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $109,900 Active 151 DOM
  2. 2026-06-19
    days on market $109,900 Active 149 DOM
  3. 2026-06-18
    days on market $109,900 Active 148 DOM
  4. 2026-06-17
    days on market $109,900 Active 147 DOM
  5. 2026-06-16
    days on market $109,900 Active 146 DOM
  6. 2026-06-15
    days on market $109,900 Active 145 DOM
  7. 2026-06-14
    days on market $109,900 Active 143 DOM
  8. 2026-06-12
    days on market $109,900 Active 142 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $109,900 Active 139 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $109,900 Active 138 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $109,900 Active 137 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    days on market $109,900 Active 132 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $109,900 Active 131 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $109,900 Active 130 DOM
  15. 2026-05-30
    days on market $109,900 Active 129 DOM
  16. 2026-02-16
    price $109,900 482-char remark
    Show marketing remark (482 chars)

    Welcome to 301 Poplar St. This home offers all the space you've been looking for, with 3 bedrooms upstairs and one on the main floor. Or turn one into a home office, gym or anything else you can imagine! The main level also offers your full bathroom, laundry room and a nice sunroom in the front to get you a great view of the town and mountains! Large back yard and a covered porch to sit and enjoy the evening or entertaining guests! Don't wait, at this price it won't last long!!

  17. 2026-01-21
    listed $115,000 Active 482-char remark
    Show marketing remark (482 chars)

    Welcome to 301 Poplar St. This home offers all the space you've been looking for, with 3 bedrooms upstairs and one on the main floor. Or turn one into a home office, gym or anything else you can imagine! The main level also offers your full bathroom, laundry room and a nice sunroom in the front to get you a great view of the town and mountains! Large back yard and a covered porch to sit and enjoy the evening or entertaining guests! Don't wait, at this price it won't last long!!

  18. 2011-11-15
    soldstatus $39,000
  19. 2011-10-28
    soldstatus $39,000 Sold 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  20. 2011-10-28
    soldstatus $39,000
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  21. 2011-09-15
    status Contract 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  22. 2011-09-15
    historical
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  23. 2011-07-21
    status Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  24. 2011-07-20
    historical Expired 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  25. 2011-06-07
    price $39,900 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  26. 2011-02-28
    price $41,950 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  27. 2010-12-22
    status Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  28. 2010-10-22
    status Contract 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  29. 2010-07-30
    price $49,900 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  30. 2010-07-22
    status Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  31. 2010-07-20
    historical Expired 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  32. 2010-01-21
    listed $58,900 Active 214-char remark
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  33. 2010-01-21
    listed $39,900
    Show marketing remark (214 chars)

    This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!

  34. 2010-01-18
    historical Withdrawn
  35. 2010-01-18
    historical
  36. 2009-11-11
    price
  37. 2009-07-07
    price
  38. 2009-05-01
    listed
  39. 2009-04-30
    historical
  40. 2009-04-30
    listed $63,000
  41. 2009-04-30
    historical
  42. 2009-04-29
    listed
  43. 2009-04-29
    listed $75,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$862 · $72/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,030 · $86/mo
Expected delta
+$168/yr (+$14/mo · 19.5%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$13,874
− Mortgage interest
−$6,156
− Property taxes
−$862
− Insurance
−$550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,110
− Management
−$1,110
− Depreciation
−$3,197
Taxable income
$889
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$213
After-tax cash flow
$2,419/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Allegany County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400030
Math proficiency
15% ▼ -26.00%
Reading proficiency
30% ▼ -20.00%
Median HH income
$39,760
Composite
18.95/100
National rank
#8854
State rank
#18 of 24 in MD

Livability — Westernport

Score
69/100
State rank
#188
US rank
#8479

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Westernport, MD
Population (ZIP)
3,192

Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
68,778 people
By 2030
66,766 · -2.9%
By 2040
62,784 · -8.7%
By 2050
59,179 · -14.0%
By 2075
50,732 · -26.2%
By 2100
40,837 · -40.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (98%)
Race & ethnicity
White 98% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Allegany

2024 margin
Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.28%
Current HPI
216.4044
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+46.5% since first listed
28 events — show timeline
  • 2026-02-16 Price Changed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-01-21 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
  • 2011-10-28 Sold (MLS) $39,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-10-28 Sold (MLS) $39,000 MRIS
  • 2011-09-15 Pending MRIS
  • 2011-09-15 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2011-07-21 Relisted MRIS
  • 2011-07-20 Delisted MRIS
  • 2011-06-07 Price Changed $39,900 MRIS
  • 2011-02-28 Price Changed $41,950 MRIS
  • 2010-12-22 Relisted MRIS
  • 2010-10-22 Pending MRIS
  • 2010-07-30 Price Changed $49,900 MRIS
  • 2010-07-22 Relisted MRIS
  • 2010-07-20 Delisted MRIS
  • 2010-01-21 Listed $58,900 MRIS
  • 2010-01-21 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2010-01-18 Delisted MRIS
  • 2010-01-18 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-11-11 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2009-07-07 Price Changed MRIS
  • 2009-05-01 Listed MRIS
  • 2009-04-30 Delisted MRIS
  • 2009-04-30 Listing Removed BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-04-30 Listed $63,000 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2009-04-29 Listed MRIS
  • 2009-04-29 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS

Property tax history

+1.4%/yr

Latest (2025): $862 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…