301 Poplar St · Westernport, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.2/30.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- ARV discount +5.6/15.0
- Appreciation +5.6/10.0
- 1% rule +5.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.9/10.0
$109,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to 301 Poplar St. This home offers all the space you've been looking for, with 3 bedrooms upstairs and one on the main floor. Or turn one into a home office, gym or anything else you can imagine! The main level also offers your full bathroom, laundry room and a nice sunroom in the front to get you a great view of the town and mountains! Large back yard and a covered porch to sit and enjoy the evening or entertaining guests! Don't wait, at this price it won't last long!!
Key facts
- Covered porch
- Sunroom
- Large back yard
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $110k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $110k).
- Recommended offer: $97k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 69/100 on livability (#188 in MD) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime B; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Allegany County Public Schools (other): math 15% / reading 30% proficiency, ranked #18 of 24 in MD (top 75%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: 23 active listings in the ZIP; 24 units permitted in Allegany County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($760 loan paydown + $1k appreciation (1.3% local appreciation)).
- Allegany County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (1.3% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $31k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 151 days — a 12% lower offer ($97k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 10 sale attempts since 17y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $39k; list at $110k implies a 182% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 151 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.05% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.69%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.55%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $105,503
- List price
- $109,900
- Delta
- 4.17%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 10 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311 Johnson St | 0.13mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,583 (+6%) | 8mo | $9,000 | $6 | 72 |
| 105 Wood St | 0.30mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,584 (+6%) | 9mo | $18,000 | $11 | 63 |
| 219 Spruce St | 0.06mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,344 (-10%) | 23mo | $103,000 | $77 | 56 |
| 104 Howard St | 0.49mi | 4/1.0 | 1,548 (+4%) | 21mo | $134,000 | $87 | 54 |
| 412 Walnut St | 0.17mi | 4/1.5 | 1,680 (+12%) | 23mo | $135,000 | $80 | 51 |
| 306 Philos Ave | 0.60mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,612 (+8%) | 13mo | $115,000 | $71 | 43 |
| 153 Wood St | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,656 (+11%) | 20mo | $44,000 | $27 | 41 |
| 202 Riordon Rd | 0.62mi | 4/1.0 | 1,344 (-10%) | 19mo | $60,000 | $45 | 38 |
| 207 Central Ave | 0.68mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,654 (+11%) | 8mo | $189,000 | $114 | 33 |
| 212 Central Ave | 0.69mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,372 (-8%) | 18mo | $120,000 | $87 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.28% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 11.0%
- Equity multiple
- 1.57×
- Total profit
- $17,543
- Equity at exit
- $39,156
- IRR
- 14.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.81×
- Total profit
- $55,731
- Equity at exit
- $53,327
Cash invested: $30,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21562
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 23
- Price-to-rent
- 7.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,156 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$576
- Tax from tax record
- −$72 /mo · $862/yr
- Insurance
- −$46
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$243
- Net cashflow
- $219
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $282 | -5% $250 | +0% $219 | +5% $188 | +10% $157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $128 | -5% $174 | +0% $219 | +5% $265 | +10% $311 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $275 | -0.5pp $247 | base $219 | +0.5pp $191 | +1.0pp $162 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,475
- Closing costs
- $3,297
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 43 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $109,900 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-19days on market $109,900 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $109,900 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $109,900 Active 147 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $109,900 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $109,900 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $109,900 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $109,900 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $109,900 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $109,900 Active 138 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $109,900 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $109,900 Active 132 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $109,900 Active 131 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $109,900 Active 130 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $109,900 Active 129 DOM
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2026-02-16price $109,900 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Welcome to 301 Poplar St. This home offers all the space you've been looking for, with 3 bedrooms upstairs and one on the main floor. Or turn one into a home office, gym or anything else you can imagine! The main level also offers your full bathroom, laundry room and a nice sunroom in the front to get you a great view of the town and mountains! Large back yard and a covered porch to sit and enjoy the evening or entertaining guests! Don't wait, at this price it won't last long!!
-
2026-01-21$115,000 Active 482-char remark
Show marketing remark (482 chars)
Welcome to 301 Poplar St. This home offers all the space you've been looking for, with 3 bedrooms upstairs and one on the main floor. Or turn one into a home office, gym or anything else you can imagine! The main level also offers your full bathroom, laundry room and a nice sunroom in the front to get you a great view of the town and mountains! Large back yard and a covered porch to sit and enjoy the evening or entertaining guests! Don't wait, at this price it won't last long!!
-
2011-11-15soldstatus $39,000
-
2011-10-28soldstatus $39,000 Sold 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2011-10-28soldstatus $39,000
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2011-09-15status Contract 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2011-09-15historical
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2011-07-21status Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2011-07-20historical Expired 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2011-06-07price $39,900 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2011-02-28price $41,950 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2010-12-22status Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2010-10-22status Contract 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2010-07-30price $49,900 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2010-07-22status Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2010-07-20historical Expired 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2010-01-21$58,900 Active 214-char remark
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2010-01-21$39,900
Show marketing remark (214 chars)
This 4 Br Country Home has the charm of country living but the convenience of being close to town, shopping and schools. The enclosed sunroom is a great place to have your morning coffee and watch nature. MUST SEE!
-
2010-01-18historical Withdrawn
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2010-01-18historical
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2009-11-11price
-
2009-07-07price
-
2009-05-01
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2009-04-30historical
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2009-04-30$63,000
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2009-04-30historical
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2009-04-29
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2009-04-29$75,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $862 · $72/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,030 · $86/mo
- Expected delta
- +$168/yr (+$14/mo · 19.5%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,874
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,156
- − Property taxes
- −$862
- − Insurance
- −$550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,110
- − Management
- −$1,110
- − Depreciation
- −$3,197
- Taxable income
- $889
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$213
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,419/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Allegany County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400030
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -26.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 30% ▼ -20.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,760
- Composite
- 18.95/100
- National rank
- #8854
- State rank
- #18 of 24 in MD
Livability — Westernport
- Score
- 69/100
- State rank
- #188
- US rank
- #8479
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Westernport, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,192
Population outlook (Allegany County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 68,778 people
- By 2030
- 66,766 · -2.9%
- By 2040
- 62,784 · -8.7%
- By 2050
- 59,179 · -14.0%
- By 2075
- 50,732 · -26.2%
- By 2100
- 40,837 · -40.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (98%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 98% Hispanic / Latino 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Iranian 2% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 0%
Political lean MEDSL · Allegany
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.3) · D 28.9% · R 69.2% · Other 2.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.4pp toward R · 2008: -25.9pp · 2024: -40.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.3 2020: R+38.3 2016: R+48.0 2012: R+32.9 2008: R+25.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.28%
- Current HPI
- 216.4044
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
|
||
| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
|
||
| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
|
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Price history
+46.5% since first listed28 events — show timeline
- 2026-02-16 Price Changed $109,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2026-01-21 Listed $115,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-11-15 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records
- 2011-10-28 Sold (MLS) $39,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-10-28 Sold (MLS) $39,000 MRIS
- 2011-09-15 Pending — MRIS
- 2011-09-15 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2011-07-21 Relisted — MRIS
- 2011-07-20 Delisted — MRIS
- 2011-06-07 Price Changed $39,900 MRIS
- 2011-02-28 Price Changed $41,950 MRIS
- 2010-12-22 Relisted — MRIS
- 2010-10-22 Pending — MRIS
- 2010-07-30 Price Changed $49,900 MRIS
- 2010-07-22 Relisted — MRIS
- 2010-07-20 Delisted — MRIS
- 2010-01-21 Listed $58,900 MRIS
- 2010-01-21 Listed $39,900 BRIGHT MLS
- 2010-01-18 Delisted — MRIS
- 2010-01-18 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-11-11 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2009-07-07 Price Changed — MRIS
- 2009-05-01 Listed — MRIS
- 2009-04-30 Delisted — MRIS
- 2009-04-30 Listing Removed — BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-04-30 Listed $63,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2009-04-29 Listed — MRIS
- 2009-04-29 Listed $75,000 BRIGHT MLS
Property tax history
+1.4%/yrLatest (2025): $862 · +4.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…