3 bd · 1.0 ba ·
1,224 sqft ·
Built 1946
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,821/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,154
Tax + insurance
−$219
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$382
Net cashflow
$66/mo
Annual
$787/yr
Cap rate
6.65%
Cash-on-cash
1.28%
DSCR
1.06
1% rule
0.83%
Cash to close
$61,600
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $220k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $66 ($787/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $182k (17.2% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($217k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $182k (17.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 86/100 on livability (#21 in MI, #378 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D.
West Ottawa Public School District (suburban): math 37% / reading 52% proficiency, ranked #140 of 540 in MI (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Zoned schools: Great Lakes Elementary School (math 29% / reading 39%, grade F, #798 of 1,397 statewide, top 57%, 409 students, 74% FRL); Harbor Lights Middle School (math 38% / reading 53%, grade D+, #161 of 493 statewide, top 33%, 817 students, 52% FRL); West Ottawa High School Campus (math 39% / reading 62%, grade D+, #146 of 713 statewide, top 21%, 2,196 students, 51% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.1%/yr); 346 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,237 units permitted in Ottawa County in 2024 (443 in 5+ unit buildings).
Ottawa County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
5 sale attempts since 14y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Current owner paid $70k; list at $220k implies a 214% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Cap rate 6.7% vs local median 2.3% in Beechwood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-HZMD3N62YJA00Q
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29