4 bd · 3.5 ba ·
2,630 sqft ·
Built 2022
· SingleFamily
· Active
· 15 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$3,459/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,883
Tax + insurance
−$598
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$726
Net cashflow
$252/mo
Annual
$3,020/yr
Cap rate
7.13%
Cash-on-cash
3.00%
DSCR
1.13
1% rule
0.96%
Cash to close
$100,520
Investor read
This is a 4-bed/3.5-bath single-family listed at $359k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $252 ($3k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $346k (3.6% below list).
It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($354k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $346k (3.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $14k of equity ($2k loan paydown + $12k appreciation (3.2% local appreciation)).
Location reads: area grade C — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
Tahoe-Truckee Unified (town): math 44% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #136 of 517 in CA (top 26%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Market conditions: 50 active listings in the ZIP; 3,535 units permitted in Placer County in 2024 (689 in 5+ unit buildings).
Placer County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
3 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
At projected returns (3.2% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $101k cash investment doubles in ~6 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Climate carrying-cost: major wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.1% vs local median 0.1% in Sunnyside-Tahoe City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J0CSD7A2JPF2XE
· Data 2 days agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29