12 bd · 6.0 ba ·
4,725 sqft ·
Built 1930
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 304 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$18,900/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$9,434
Tax + insurance
−$1,946
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,969
Net cashflow
$3,551/mo
Annual
$42,606/yr
Cap rate
8.66%
Cash-on-cash
8.46%
DSCR
1.38
1% rule
1.05%
Cash to close
$503,720
Investor read
This is a 6 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1.80M.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $4k ($43k/yr) — positive. Per door: $592/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $1.80M).
It's been on market 304 days — a 12% lower offer ($1.58M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $1.58M (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $12k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $54k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Zoned schools: Elm Tree Elementary School (math 27% / reading 52%, grade F, #1,444 of 2,108 statewide, top 71%, 806 students, 94% FRL); Is 227 Louis Armstrong (math 52% / reading 69%, grade B+, #153 of 729 statewide, top 21%, 1,528 students, 68% FRL); Midwood High School (math 94% / reading 96%, grade A+, #83 of 1,100 statewide, top 8%, 4,062 students, 73% FRL).
Watch-outs: built in 1930 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+5.0%/yr); 214 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).
Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Current owner paid $447k; list at $1.80M implies a 302% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 5.0% rent growth), your $504k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 40% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→14/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $18,900/mo this rent would consume 255% of the median local household income ($89k/yr) (locally 5525% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 304 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1930 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
CashFlowRE · CFR-J567QGB29V5E6G
· Data 2 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29