16 bd · 16.0 ba ·
2,486 sqft ·
Built 1943
· MultiFamily
· Active
· 262 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$19,033/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$3,251
Tax + insurance
−$1,033
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$3,997
Net cashflow
$10,751/mo
Annual
$129,017/yr
Cap rate
27.10%
Cash-on-cash
74.32%
DSCR
4.31
1% rule
3.07%
Cash to close
$173,600
Investor read
This is a 4 × 4-bed/4.0-bath units multifamily listed at $620k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $11k ($129k/yr) — positive. Per door: $3k/mo.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
Meets the 1% rule at list price ($19k rent vs $620k).
It's been on market 262 days — a 12% lower offer ($546k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $546k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $4k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $19k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 77/100 on livability (#74 in CA, #2,860 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: schools A+, amenities A+, commute A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
Berkeley Unified (urban): math 61% / reading 67% proficiency, ranked #175 of 1,400 in CA (top 12%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.6%/yr); 43 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,742 units permitted in Alameda County in 2024 (856 in 5+ unit buildings).
Alameda County population projected at +34% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.6% rent growth), your $174k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Cap rate 27.1% vs local median 2.0% in Berkeley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
At $19,033/mo this rent would consume 229% of the median local household income ($100k/yr) (locally 1183% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Questions for listing agent
It's been on market 262 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: Painting
— Light pink siding shows some discoloration
Minor: Landscaping
— Some overgrown vegetation in the yard
CashFlowRE · CFR-J58X4T5A5WJ8GA
· Data 11 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29