2 bd · 1.0 ba ·
837 sqft ·
Built 1948
· Other
· Active
· 17 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,379/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$734
Tax + insurance
−$189
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$290
Net cashflow
$166/mo
Annual
$1,992/yr
Cap rate
7.72%
Cash-on-cash
5.08%
DSCR
1.23
1% rule
0.98%
Cash to close
$39,200
Investor read
This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath other listed at $140k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $166 ($2k/yr) — positive.
The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $138k (1.5% below list).
It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($138k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $138k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $968 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 60/100 on livability (#113 in NM) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: commute C-, employment D, crime F.
Albuquerque Public Schools (urban): math 51% / reading 75% proficiency, ranked #3 of 29 in NM (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
Zoned schools: Coronado Elementary (308 students, 30% FRL); Ernie Pyle Middle (453 students, 100% FRL); Rio Grande High (math 5% / reading 24%, grade F, #107 of 110 statewide, top 97%, 1,532 students, 100% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 60% district-wide (17 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
Zoned-school proficiency averages 15% at this address vs 63% district-wide (-48 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Albuquerque Public Schools average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
Watch-outs: built in 1948 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Market conditions: 166 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 40% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,316 units permitted in Bernalillo County in 2024 (546 in 5+ unit buildings).
Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Cap rate 7.7% vs local median 3.9% in South Valley — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Questions for listing agent
Built in 1948 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J5GQHR4Q5B29HJ
· Data 8 h agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29