5 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,540 sqft ·
Built 1960
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 26 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,966/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$1,179
Tax + insurance
−$375
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$413
Net cashflow
$-1/mo
Annual
$-14/yr
Cap rate
6.29%
Cash-on-cash
-0.02%
DSCR
1.00
1% rule
0.87%
Cash to close
$62,972
Investor read
This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k. Condition is rated average.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-14/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (0.1% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (12.6% below list).
It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $197k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in IA, #1,432 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
Johnston Community School District (suburban): math 78% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #24 of 289 in IA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 256 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.1% in Des Moines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Repairs flagged (vision-AI assessment)
Minor: kitchen backsplash
— tiled backsplash in need of cleaning
Minor: bathroom backsplash
— black tile in need of cleaning
Minor: exterior siding
— gray siding in need of cleaning
CashFlowRE · CFR-J5KGP387CJP719
· Data 3 weeks agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29