4707 NW Piekenbrock Dr · Des Moines, IA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $902 – $1,676
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.3/30.0
- Schools +6.9/10.0
- DSCR +4.0/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- 1% rule +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +3.4/5.0
- Condition / age +2.8/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$224,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Packed with possibilities, this versatile up/down duplex offers the option to generate rental income or easily convert back into a spacious single-family home. Featuring 5 bedrooms and 2 bathrooms, the property includes multiple kitchens, flexible living spaces, and separate parking areas—ideal for multi-generational living or investment use. All set on a large yard with plenty of room to enjoy or expand.
Key facts
- Up down duplex
- Multiple kitchens
- Large yard
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached one-car garage; Carport
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single-story home
- Construction: Metal siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Block foundation; Below-grade finished area included
- Exterior features: Irregular-shaped lot; Concrete road access
Interior
- Bedrooms: Three main-level bedrooms
- Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating (natural gas)
- Interior features: Partially finished walk-out basement; Basement present
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 5-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k. Condition is rated average.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-1 ($-14/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $225k (0.1% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $197k (12.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $197k (12.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 3.1% in Des Moines — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#63 in IA, #1,432 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Johnston Community School District (suburban): math 78% / reading 78% proficiency, ranked #24 of 289 in IA (top 8%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical; only 14% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.7%/yr); 256 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 20d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,953 units permitted in Polk County in 2024 (540 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 31% of the median local income ($76k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Polk County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 26 days — a 2% lower offer ($222k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.87% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.29%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.02%
- DSCR
- 1.00
- GRM
- 9.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $310,788
- List price
- $224,900
- Delta
- -27.64%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4503 62nd St | 0.64mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,470 (-4%) | 5mo | $277,500 | $189 | 52 |
| 4402 62nd St | 0.72mi | 4/1.5 (-1) | 1,470 (-4%) | 4mo | $302,500 | $206 | 49 |
| 4414 63rd St | 0.73mi | 4/2.0 (-1) | 1,700 (+10%) | 4mo | $215,000 | $126 | 40 |
| 4512 48th St | 0.56mi | 4/3.0 (-1) | 1,670 (+8%) | 15mo | $335,000 | $201 | 38 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.74% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -15.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.44×
- Total profit
- $-35,016
- Equity at exit
- $33,533
- IRR
- -5.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-24,326
- Equity at exit
- $19,445
Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Iowa
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 50310
- Rents YoY
- 3.7%
- Active inventory
- 256
- Price-to-rent
- 9.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,966 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,179
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$281 /mo · $3,374/yr
- Insurance
- −$94
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$413
- Net cashflow
- $-1
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $154 | -5% $77 | +0% $-1 | +5% $-79 | +10% $-157 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-156 | -5% $-79 | +0% $-1 | +5% $76 | +10% $154 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $112 | -0.5pp $56 | base $-1 | +0.5pp $-59 | +1.0pp $-119 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $56,225
- Closing costs
- $6,747
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5315 Merced St Des Moines, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $1,995 | $1.33 | 24d | 1 | 0.51mi |
| 4117 64th St Urbandale, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1812 | $2,150 | $1.19 | 15d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 3815 Hillcrest Dr Des Moines, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1743 | $1,995 | $1.14 | 19d | 1 | 1.18mi |
| 3610 64th St Urbandale, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $2,200 | $1.33 | 44d | 1 | 1.40mi |
| 3610 64th St Urbandale, IA | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1658 | $2,200 | $1.33 | 15d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 1 events
-
2026-04-30$234,900 Active 414-char remark
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $23,590
- − Mortgage interest
- −$12,598
- − Property taxes
- −$3,374
- − Insurance
- −$1,124
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,887
- − Management
- −$1,887
- − Depreciation
- −$6,543
- Taxable loss
- −$3,822
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$917
- After-tax cash flow
- $903/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This home presents as a moderate rehab project with average condition. It has potential for significant value increase with updates to interior walls, backsplash, and exterior siding.
Repairs flagged
- Minor kitchen backsplash — tiled backsplash in need of cleaning
- Minor bathroom backsplash — black tile in need of cleaning
- Minor exterior siding — gray siding in need of cleaning
Value-add opportunities
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value
- Both update kitchen backsplash — A fresh backsplash can improve the kitchen's aesthetic and functionality
- Both update bathroom backsplash — A fresh backsplash can improve the bathroom's aesthetic and functionality
- Both update exterior siding — A fresh coat of paint can improve the home's curb appeal and value
Renovation cost estimate screening
| Repair item | Severity | Est. cost |
|---|---|---|
| kitchen backsplash · tiled backsplash in need of cleaning | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| bathroom backsplash · black tile in need of cleaning | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| exterior siding · gray siding in need of cleaning | Minor | $500–3,000 |
| Total estimated repair cost · 3 items | $1,500–9,000 |
Value-add ROI direction
- Both paint interior walls — Fresh paint can make a significant difference in the home's appearance and value ↑
- Both update kitchen backsplash — A fresh backsplash can improve the kitchen's aesthetic and functionality ↑
- Both update bathroom backsplash — A fresh backsplash can improve the bathroom's aesthetic and functionality ↑
- Both update exterior siding — A fresh coat of paint can improve the home's curb appeal and value ↑
ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Johnston Community School District
- NCES district ID
- 1915450
- Math proficiency
- 78% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 78% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $85,758
- Composite
- 69.43/100
- National rank
- #309
- State rank
- #24 of 289 in IA
Livability — Des Moines
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #63
- US rank
- #1432
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Polk County · 453,298 people
- City population
- 203,612
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- Population (ZIP)
- 31,177
- Household income
- $76,381
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 928.0
Population outlook (Polk County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 548,042 people
- By 2030
- 588,557 · +7.4%
- By 2040
- 670,629 · +22.4%
- By 2050
- 752,830 · +37.4%
- By 2075
- 955,069 · +74.3%
- By 2100
- 1,115,436 · +103.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Majority White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 14% Asian 9% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 6%
- Common ancestry
- Ukrainian 3% Iranian 3% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 19% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 77% English-only · Other Asian/Pacific 6% Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Polk
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.9) · D 54.8% · R 43.9% · Other 1.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.7pp toward R · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 10.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.9 2020: D+15.2 2016: D+11.5 2012: D+14.2 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -197.92%
- Current HPI
- 248.07
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.74%
- Metro
- Des Moines-West Des Moines, IA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.48%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $16B |
|
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| Retail / Convenience | 1 | $15B |
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Price history
-4.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-26 Pending — DMMLS
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $224,900 DMMLS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $234,900 DMMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…