3 bd · 2.0 ba ·
1,120 sqft ·
Built 2020
· SingleFamily
· Pending
· 36 DOM
Cashflow @ list (25.0% down · 7.5%)
Estimated rent
$1,125/mo
Mortgage (P&I)
−$839
Tax + insurance
−$267
HOA
−$0
Vac / Maint / Mgmt
−$236
Net cashflow
$-217/mo
Annual
$-2,599/yr
Cap rate
4.67%
Cash-on-cash
-5.80%
DSCR
0.74
1% rule
0.70%
Cash to close
$44,800
Investor read
This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.
At list price, monthly cash flow is $-217 ($-3k/yr) — negative.
To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $129k (19.6% below list).
To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $113k (29.7% below list).
It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($155k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer: $113k (29.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
In year one you build about $11k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $9k appreciation (5.9% local appreciation)).
Location reads 66/100 on livability (#492 in MN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B; Watch: crime D+, amenities F, commute F.
Kingsland Public School District (rural): math 34% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #178 of 301 in MN (top 59%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
Market conditions: 8 active listings in the ZIP; 65 units permitted in Fillmore County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Fillmore County population projected at -15% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
By year 4, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$36k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Questions for listing agent
What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 30% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
CashFlowRE · CFR-J5SP8BF43TZGEC
· Data 1 week agocashflowre.app · 2026-05-29